Baylor Bears vs Houston Cougars Picks and Predictions January 10th 2026

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The Baylor Bears enter 10-4 and look to secure their first Big 12 win, while the Houston Cougars aim to extend their nation-best road winning streak in this conference clash at Ferrell Center.

Line Movement and Odds

Houston opened as the favorite, with the line reflecting confidence in their unbeaten road streak and defensive consistency. Current market:

  • Houston Spread: -6.5 (-110)
  • Baylor Spread: +6.5 (-110)
  • Houston MoneyLine: -260
  • Baylor MoneyLine: +210
  • Total: 141.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

Houston Outlook

Houston averages 78.9 points per game, with Kingston Flemings, Emanuel Sharp, and Chris Cenac Jr. leading the offense. Flemings’ late-game heroics (23 points vs Texas Tech) highlighted his fearlessness, while Cenac and Joseph Tugler provide rebounding strength. Their 14-1 overall record and 2-0 Big 12 mark underscore consistency, with coach Kelvin Sampson emphasizing ball security (just six turnovers vs Tech).

Baylor Outlook

Baylor averages 76.2 points per game, with Cameron Carr, Caden Powell, and Tounde Yessoufou providing scoring depth. Carr’s 17 points vs Iowa State showed promise, but the Bears’ shooting woes (30.6% FG, 58% FT) remain a concern. Their 10-4 overall record and 0-2 Big 12 mark underscore struggles, with coach Scott Drew emphasizing toughness and free-throw efficiency as keys to improvement.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

The game hinges on Houston’s ability to maintain defensive intensity and rebounding, while Baylor must lean on Carr and Powell to pace the offense. If Houston controls tempo and limits turnovers, their depth should create separation. Baylor’s hopes rest on improved shooting and free-throw accuracy to stay competitive.

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Injuries / Availability

Houston: No injuries reported.

Baylor: No notable injuries listed.

Environment

Ferrell Center provides Baylor with a strong home-court edge, though Houston’s nation-best 15-game road winning streak highlights their ability to thrive away from home.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Houston 74, Baylor 67

  • Houston -6.5 → Best Bet. Their defensive consistency and road dominance make them the sharper side.
  • Under 141.5 → Total play. Both teams’ defensive tendencies point toward a combined score below the line.

Houston’s depth and ball security should dictate the game, while Baylor’s offense keeps the spread in play. Expect a competitive contest trending under the total.

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