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Bowling Green Falcons vs Western Michigan Broncos Picks and Predictions January 20th 2026
Tuesday night MACtion tips off in Kalamazoo as Western Michigan hosts Bowling Green at University Arena. The Falcons are 7.5-point road favorites with a -361 moneyline, while the Broncos are +286 underdogs at home. The total is set at 155.5 for a game expected to feature a decent scoring pace and transition chances on both sides.
Bowling Green is having one of its stronger conference starts in recent years, while Western Michigan continues to battle inconsistency on both ends. While the Broncos have shown some fight at home, they’ll need to slow down a more efficient and deeper Falcons squad to cover here — let alone pull an upset.
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Bowling Green Falcons vs Western Michigan Broncos Odds
Below are the current odds for Bowling Green vs Western Michigan. Be sure to check the latest college basketball odds for line moves and updated totals ahead of tip.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Green Falcons | -361 | -7.5 (-110) | O 155.5 (-110) |
| Western Michigan Broncos | +286 | +7.5 (-110) | U 155.5 (-110) |
Bowling Green Falcons Betting Form
Bowling Green has been sharp lately, especially offensively. They’ve scored 75+ in five of their last six games and are attacking in transition with confidence. The Falcons excel at pushing pace after rebounds and creating high-percentage looks early in the shot clock. Their backcourt has been efficient, and ball security has improved compared to earlier in the season.
Defensively, they’re not elite — but they do enough. They force mistakes and rebound well, particularly on the defensive glass. Against a struggling Western Michigan offense, that may be all they need. The main risk for Bowling Green is foul trouble, as they can get over-aggressive defensively at times.
Get the full Bowling Green Falcons stats and results and monitor the Bowling Green Falcons injury report for any lineup updates.
Western Michigan Broncos Betting Form
Western Michigan has struggled to keep pace with the MAC’s better offenses. The Broncos are shooting under 43% as a team and often find themselves playing catch-up. Their offense is reliant on a few scorers, and when they get taken out of rhythm, there isn’t much depth behind them. Shot selection has also been an issue — too many contested jumpers, not enough rim pressure.
Defensively, the Broncos rank near the bottom of the league in efficiency. They give up too many open looks from three and struggle to close possessions with rebounds. At home, they’ve shown flashes, but against more athletic teams, they’ve been exposed late in games.
Dive into the Western Michigan Broncos schedule and stats and review the Western Michigan Broncos injury report for key player statuses.
Bowling Green Falcons vs Western Michigan Broncos Matchup Breakdown
This matchup leans heavily in Bowling Green’s favor from a tempo and efficiency standpoint. The Falcons play fast but with control, while the Broncos often play fast out of desperation. The rebounding edge and backcourt depth for Bowling Green could be the deciding factor.
Key matchup edges:
- Bowling Green’s transition offense vs Western Michigan’s poor defensive rebounding
- Falcons’ deeper guard rotation and better turnover margin
- Broncos struggle to defend the three — Bowling Green shoots over 35% from deep
- Western Michigan’s offense lacks a reliable second option
If Bowling Green avoids foul trouble and keeps their tempo up, they should pull away. Western Michigan’s best chance is to slow the pace and hope for a cold shooting night — but that’s a tough ask given how both teams are trending.
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Bowling Green Falcons vs Western Michigan Broncos Predictions and Best Bets
This number sits just under double digits, which makes it easier to back the road favorite. Bowling Green has the shot creators, ball movement, and transition scoring to exploit Western Michigan’s defensive flaws. Even if the Broncos hang early, the second half could get away from them once the Falcons settle in.
The total is fair at 155.5, but Bowling Green might dictate pace to the Over. If Western Michigan contributes even moderately on offense, this could push into the 160s.
Best Bet: Bowling Green Falcons -7.5 (-110)
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