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Butler Bulldogs vs Boise State Broncos Betting Preview
Butler enters Saturday at 7-1 behind Finley Bizjack’s surge into one of the Big East’s most efficient scorers. Bizjack averaged 10.3 points last season, but he has jumped to 19.0 per game and is shooting a league-best 45.6 percent from three. He’s hit double figures in seven of eight games and dropped 29 points in the 84-68 win over Eastern Michigan. Updated market context for this matchup is available anytime on the NCAA basketball odds page.
Bizjack’s confidence comes from Thad Matta’s structured spacing and green-light mentality. His last three games have produced 20-plus points, and his career-high 30 came against Boise State in the postseason. Butler has surrounded him with steady interior scoring and improved ball movement, giving him space to operate off handoffs and relocation threes. Boise State, now 5-3, hasn’t played since the Maui Invitational. They closed their trip with a 102-76 win over Chaminade, fueled by one of the most efficient big-man performances in Mountain West history. Drew Fielder went 12-for-13 from the field for 27 points and 14 rebounds. The Georgetown transfer has hit double figures five times and gives the Broncos a high-efficiency post anchor. This will be Boise State’s first true road game, and Leon Rice noted that the break provides time to absorb Maui film and refine rotations.
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Line Movement and Odds
Butler projects as a moderate home favorite, driven by their offensive consistency and three-point efficiency. Totals lean upward because both teams create clean perimeter looks and have reliable interior scoring. For matchup comparisons across the slate, visit the college basketball previews section. Public action trends toward Butler due to form and home advantage, while sharp bettors monitor how Boise State’s rebounding translates in a true road environment.
Matchup Breakdown
Butler’s success hinges on spacing around Bizjack. His movement shooting forces extended closeouts, opening drives and kick-outs. The Bulldogs have improved their pace control and selective transition pushes, which complement Bizjack’s shot volume.
Boise State’s path centers on Fielder’s efficiency. If he establishes deep post position and draws early help, the Broncos can flatten Butler’s defensive rhythm. Boise State’s experience and physicality inside give them a chance to trade possessions even if Butler shoots well.
For complementary angles and data-driven insights, the free college basketball picks page frames similar matchup outputs.
Injuries and Conditions
Butler
No major injury updates reported.
Full team info: Butler team page
Boise State
No major injury updates reported.
Full team info: Boise State team page
Indoor venue, no weather concerns.
Best Bets and Prediction
Butler’s perimeter efficiency and Bizjack’s current run shape a favorable matchup at home. Boise State’s interior scoring can keep this competitive, but their first true road test adds volatility.
Projected Score: Butler 81, Boise State 72
Best Bet: Butler ATS
Secondary Lean: Over, tied to expected pace and perimeter shot quality
For a structured approach to game-by-game strategy, consult the Bettors Handbook.
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