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California Golden Bears vs Pacific Tigers Betting Preview
The California Golden Bears host the Pacific Tigers at Haas Pavilion in Berkeley. Cal (7-1) is off to its best start since 2016-17, while Pacific (7-2) rides a four-game winning streak. Bettors must weigh Cal’s home dominance and scoring depth against Pacific’s rebounding and Elias Ralph’s offensive production.
Line Movement and Odds
- Pacific Tigers Spread: +11.5 (-112)
- California Golden Bears Spread: -11.5 (-112)
- Pacific Tigers MoneyLine: +503
- California Golden Bears MoneyLine: -761
- Total: 145.5 (Over -110, Under -110)
California opened as strong favorites at home. See full NCAA Basketball odds for market movement.
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Matchup Breakdown
Pacific Tigers Outlook
Pacific defeated Air Force 80-65 behind Elias Ralph’s 31 points. Ralph averages 18.2 points and 6.6 rebounds per game, while Kajus Kublickas adds playmaking with 7 assists vs Air Force. The Tigers average 73.1 points per game, shoot 48.2% from the field, and rank 40th nationally in free throw percentage (76.7%). Their rebounding (39.2 per game) helps control tempo, making Ralph the key to an upset bid.
California Golden Bears Outlook
Cal topped Utah 79-72 with Dai Dai Ames scoring 25 and Justin Pippen adding 23. Pippen averages 14.1 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 4.6 assists, while Ames provides scoring punch. The Bears average 83.8 points per game and shoot 38.1% from three, ranking 33rd nationally. Cal is 7-0 at home and 6-0 as favorites, showing consistency and strength under coach Mark Madsen’s revamped roster.
Key Matchup / Path to Victory
Pacific’s rebounding and Ralph’s scoring vs Cal’s perimeter shooting and depth. The Tigers must rely on Ralph and Kublickas to keep pace, while Cal needs Ames and Pippen to maintain offensive rhythm and avoid complacency.
Injuries / Availability
Pacific: No major injuries reported, Ralph and Kublickas lead the lineup.
California: Full roster available, Ames and Pippen anchor scoring.
Betting Trends
- Pacific is 7-2 overall, 3-2 on the road.
- Pacific averages 39.2 rebounds per game.
- California is 7-1 overall, 7-0 at home.
- California averages 83.8 points per game and shoots 38.1% from three.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Projected Final Score: California 85, Pacific 72
- California -11.5 (-112) → Best Bet. Bears’ scoring depth and home-court edge suggest they cover.
- Under 145.5 (-110) → Total. Our model projects 157 points, but Pacific’s slower pace leans under.
California’s balanced attack and home dominance should secure the win, while Pacific’s rebounding keeps it competitive. Expect Cal to cover with the total trending under.
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