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Green Bay Phoenix vs Cleveland State Vikings Picks and Predictions – Thursday, January 15, 2026
Green Bay heads to Cleveland on Thursday night for a Horizon League matchup against Cleveland State at the Wolstein Center, and the market is leaning slightly to the road team. The Phoenix are laying 3.5 points despite a mediocre road profile (4-7), which tells you oddsmakers are weighting Green Bay’s current form and efficiency more than raw home/away splits. Cleveland State’s overall record is ugly at 5-13, but the Vikings have been far more competitive in their building at 5-3, and that’s exactly why this line sits in the one-to-two possession range instead of pushing toward a larger Green Bay number.
The total at 147.5 sets up a pace and style question. Cleveland State can score and it shoots a lot of threes, but Green Bay’s tempo is extremely slow, and that can drag totals down even when both teams have capable offenses. This is the kind of game where the side and total can be linked to the first ten minutes. If Green Bay is dictating tempo and Cleveland State is forced into long halfcourt possessions, the under becomes stronger and +3.5 becomes more valuable. If Cleveland State turns this into a shot-volume game with pace and threes, the total climbs and the home dog can flip the script.
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Green Bay Phoenix vs Cleveland State Vikings Odds
These are the current betting lines, and bettors should keep tracking movement throughout the day on the latest college basketball odds board.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Phoenix | -163 | -3.5 (-106) | O 147.5 |
| Cleveland State Vikings | +130 | +3.5 (-120) | U 147.5 |
Green Bay Phoenix Betting Form
Green Bay is 10-8 and comes in on a three-game win streak, including an 80-78 win over Northern Kentucky that showed the Phoenix can win close games late. Justin Allen’s 27 points and Marcus Hall’s playmaking (13 points, nine assists) matters because Green Bay’s cover and win equity often comes down to whether it can create good looks in halfcourt, then execute late without speeding itself up. That style can travel, but it also makes margins harder to build, which is relevant when laying 3.5 on the road.
The efficiency numbers are the main reason Green Bay is favored. The Phoenix are shooting 47.9% from the field and have a strong effective field goal rate, which means they can win possession-for-possession even if the game is slow. The concern is that a slow team can be punished if it turns the ball over or gives up offensive rebounds, because there aren’t enough possessions to “wash out” mistakes. Green Bay doesn’t need to play fast to win, but it does need to be clean, take care of the ball, and make Cleveland State score over a set defense. For a quick snapshot of results and splits, use the Green Bay Phoenix team page. Availability matters, so monitor the Green Bay injury report before tip.
Cleveland State Vikings Betting Form
Cleveland State is 5-13 overall, but the 5-3 home record is the reason this is a live underdog spot. The Vikings just lost 94-84 to Detroit, but the offensive output in that game still matters for handicapping because it shows Cleveland State can score, especially through its primary creators. Jaidon Lipscomb’s 30 points and Chevalier Emery’s secondary production highlight a team that can keep pace if it gets a normal shooting night and doesn’t get bogged down in halfcourt.
The three-point profile is the edge that makes Cleveland State dangerous at home. The Vikings are making 10.3 threes per game and shooting 36.8% from deep, and that’s exactly the type of variable that can overcome a slow tempo team. If Cleveland State is making threes, it can force Green Bay out of its comfort zone and create a higher-variance environment where spreads tighten. Tre Beard’s 43.8% from beyond the arc is a major factor, because it provides shot-making that can flip stretches quickly. The key question is whether Cleveland State can get enough possessions to leverage that edge against a team that wants to play slow. Track form and roster notes on the Cleveland State Vikings team page, and check the Cleveland State injury report before you lock anything in.
Green Bay Phoenix vs Cleveland State Vikings Matchup Breakdown
This game is mostly about pace control versus perimeter variance. Green Bay wants a slow game with long possessions, efficient shots, and defensive possessions that end in rebounds. Cleveland State wants the opposite, more possessions, more threes, and enough early offense to prevent Green Bay from walking it up every trip. That’s why the total sits in the high 140s instead of jumping into the 150s or 160s, because the market is acknowledging Green Bay’s tempo even while respecting Cleveland State’s scoring ability.
For the spread, Cleveland State +3.5 makes sense if you believe the Vikings can create enough three-point makes to offset Green Bay’s efficiency. But the matchup is still tricky, because slow games can also benefit favorites if the favorite is the more efficient team and the underdog relies on streaky shot-making. On the total, the under 147.5 is supported by Green Bay’s 57.7 possessions per game and the idea that one cold shooting stretch could land this in the low 140s even if the game stays competitive.
Green Bay Phoenix vs Cleveland State Vikings Predictions and Best Bets
I lean Cleveland State +3.5. The home record suggests a much more competent team in this building, and the three-point volume gives Cleveland State a real path to stay within a possession or win outright, especially if Green Bay’s slow tempo turns this into a late-shot-making contest. Green Bay’s efficiency is real, but laying 3.5 on the road with a team that plays extremely slow always brings “margin risk,” because you can be the better team and still win by two.
On the total, I lean under 147.5. Green Bay’s pace is the most important variable in the game, and if the Phoenix control tempo, you’re asking both teams to score efficiently for 40 minutes to clear the number. The risk is Cleveland State getting hot from three and forcing extra possessions, but in the most likely script, the under is the better side.
Best Bet: Cleveland State +3.5 (-120).
NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
If you’re betting college basketball daily, start with the NCAAB picks hub and compare prices on the latest college basketball odds board, because Horizon League lines can move quickly when bettors react to tempo clashes, and Green Bay’s pace is the kind of input that can swing both spread and total late. This is also a strong live betting game, because the first ten minutes usually tell you who is controlling tempo, and once you know that, you can make better decisions on both the side and total than you can pregame. For more matchup breakdowns across the slate, use the NCAAB previews hub to compare pace and shot profiles, then track performance on the handicappers leaderboard to decide whose approach fits how you bet, whether you’re targeting spreads, totals, first-half positions, or live entries built around game flow.der 147.5.
