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The Kansas State Wildcats head to the high altitude of Boulder to face the Colorado Buffaloes this Wednesday, February 25, 2026. This Big 12 showdown is set for 9:00 PM ET at the CU Events Center and will be broadcast nationally on FS1. Kansas State (11-16, 2-12 Big 12) is still finding its identity under interim coach Matthew Driscoll, while Colorado (15-12, 5-9) is fighting to climb the NET rankings and keep their postseason hopes alive.
The Buffaloes enter the contest as a 7.5-point favorite, backed by an impressive 13-4 home record. Kansas State, meanwhile, has struggled significantly on the road this season, posting a 2-9 record away from Manhattan. The moneyline is currently set at -356 for Colorado and +260 for the Wildcats, with a total of 162.5 points indicating the market expects a high-scoring Big 12 affair.
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Kansas State vs. Colorado Odds
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| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
| Kansas State Wildcats | +260 | +7.5 (-120) | O 162.5 (-114) |
| Colorado Buffaloes | -356 | -7.5 (-107) | U 162.5 (-112) |
Kansas State Wildcats Betting Form
Since the coaching change on February 15, the Wildcats have been a team of extremes. They looked revitalized in a 90-74 win over Baylor but were recently dismantled in a 100-72 loss to Texas Tech. The engine of this team remains P.J. Haggerty, the nation’s #3 scorer averaging 23.5 points per game. Haggerty is coming off a rare “mortal” performance where he scored just 17 points; history suggests a bounce-back is imminent for the star guard.
The Wildcats’ path to a cover lies in their perimeter shooting. They average 9.7 three-pointers per game (72nd in NCAA), and when Nate Johnson and Haggerty are both clicking, they can keep pace with anyone. However, their defensive consistency remains the primary concern for bettors. For more detailed situational trends, check the Kansas State stats and results.
Colorado Buffaloes Betting Form
Colorado is currently playing with a sense of urgency. Ranked #69 in the NET, every home game is a “must-win” to stay in the bubble conversation. The Buffaloes are a perfect 3-0 at home in February, most recently dispatching Oklahoma State 83-69. Bangot Dak and Barrington Hargress have emerged as the primary catalysts, with Hargress recently providing a double-digit scoring effort alongside 8 assists.
The Buffaloes thrive on offensive efficiency, shooting 47% from the field (80th in NCAA). They have been reliable as favorites this season, posting an 11-3 record in that role. Their ability to protect home court is statistically significant, as they score nearly 80 points per game at the CU Events Center. To track their progress toward the tournament, visit the Colorado schedule and stats.
Kansas State vs. Colorado Matchup Breakdown
This game features a fascinating matchup between Kansas State’s volume scoring and Colorado’s balanced home efficiency. P.J. Haggerty will likely be the best player on the floor, but Colorado’s depth—led by Isaiah Johnson (16.3 PPG) and Bangot Dak—gives them more ways to win if Haggerty is forced into difficult shots.
The altitude in Boulder often wears down visiting teams, particularly those like Kansas State that rely heavily on a high-scoring backcourt. If the Wildcats can exploit Colorado’s defense with their 9.7 made threes per game, they can keep this within the number. However, if Colorado controls the glass and utilizes their 47% field goal efficiency, the Buffaloes could pull away in the second half.
- P.J. Haggerty: 23.5 PPG (3rd in NCAA)
- Colorado Home Record: 13-4
- K-State Road Record: 2-9
- 3-Point Shooting: K-State makes 9.7 per game
Kansas State vs. Colorado Predictions and Best Bets
While Colorado is the stronger team on paper, 7.5 points is a significant cushion for a team that has a scorer as prolific as Haggerty. The “interim coach bounce” often leads to higher offensive output, and the Wildcats have already shown they can score 90+ points in this new era. Our model projects an 82-78 victory for Colorado, which makes the Wildcats a strong play at +7.5.
Regarding the total, 162.5 feels a bit high for a game where Colorado often prefers to play a more calculated, consistent brand of basketball at home. While both teams average roughly 80 points, the projected total of 160 suggests there is slight value on the Under. Expect a competitive game that settles just below the betting line.
Best Bet: Kansas State +7.5 (-120)
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