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Dartmouth Big Green vs Penn Quakers Picks and Predictions – Friday, February 27, 2026
Dartmouth heads to Philadelphia on Friday night for an Ivy League matchup with Penn at The Palestra, and the market is pricing Penn as a meaningful home favorite at -6.5. That number reflects how steady Penn has been in this building, plus the idea that the Quakers can create separation with shooting. Dartmouth’s case is that it can score in bunches from three and keep this from turning into a comfortable Penn win, even if the Big Green spends most of the night playing from behind.
The total sits at 153.5, which is a big number for an Ivy game and puts pressure on both offenses to stay efficient. If the pace stays controlled and both teams are forced into longer halfcourt possessions, points become more valuable, and the underdog spread gets more attractive. If the game turns into a three-point volume night, the total is live and Penn has more paths to cover by stretching the margin with shooting.
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Dartmouth Big Green vs Penn Quakers Odds
These are the current betting lines, and bettors should keep tracking movement throughout the day on the latest college basketball odds board.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dartmouth Big Green | +246 | +6.5 (-106) | O 153.5 (-111) |
| Penn Quakers | -326 | -6.5 (-118) | U 153.5 (-110) |
Dartmouth Big Green Betting Form
Dartmouth is coming off a 64-63 road win at Columbia, and that result matters because it shows the Big Green can survive a tight, possession-by-possession finish. That’s the script you want when you’re taking points. Brandon Mitchell-Day and Jackson Munro gave them enough scoring and rebounding stability to get through the final stretch without the game breaking open.
The offensive profile gives Dartmouth a real cover path here. They can lift the scoreboard with threes, and that is the quickest way to neutralize a home favorite. If Dartmouth is getting clean perimeter looks and converting at a normal rate, it can stay within one or two possessions even if Penn has the cleaner overall game. The key is protecting the ball and avoiding the four-minute drought that lets the crowd and the building push the margin to double digits.
Injury Report
No injuries are currently listed for Dartmouth.
Penn Quakers Betting Form
Penn comes in with a strong home profile, and that matters a lot in an Ivy matchup at The Palestra. Even in the recent loss to Yale, the Quakers showed they can score, and they got production from key pieces in a competitive game script. Penn’s edge in this matchup is shot-making, especially from three, and the ability to create separation without turning the game into a fast track meet.
Penn’s cover path at -6.5 is about getting to clean threes and keeping Dartmouth from matching those makes. If Penn can defend the arc without overhelping, it can force Dartmouth into tougher twos and win the shot-quality battle. The other key for the favorite is avoiding live-ball turnovers that lead to runouts, because that is how an underdog with shooting stays comfortable and keeps the margin tight.
Penn Injury Report
R. Altman (G) — Questionable (undisclosed)
D. Williams (G) — Questionable (undisclosed)
Dartmouth Big Green vs Penn Quakers Matchup Breakdown
This matchup is three-point variance on both sides. Dartmouth wants a game where the arc matters early, because made threes keep the underdog attached and can also create pressure on Penn to trade rather than control. Penn wants to keep its offensive structure clean and force Dartmouth to score through tougher possessions that do not end in rhythm catch-and-shoot looks.
The total at 153.5 is the hinge point. If the game plays more like an Ivy halfcourt game with longer possessions and fewer transition chances, the under becomes attractive and the points become more valuable. If both teams get loose from three and the whistle adds free throws late, 153.5 is reachable. Game state matters a lot here. A tight finish often means more fouls and more points at the line.
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Dartmouth Big Green vs Penn Quakers Predictions and Best Bets
I lean Dartmouth +6.5. Penn deserves to be favored at home, but Dartmouth’s ability to score from three gives it a clean way to hang around even if it is not controlling the game. The projection you provided also points to a four-point Penn win, which fits the idea that Dartmouth can stay inside two possessions if it avoids turnover swings and keeps the shot profile healthy.
On the total, I lean under 153.5 as a secondary angle. That number asks for sustained efficiency, and if the pace stays controlled and both teams are forced into longer possessions, the game can land in the low 150s or below. The main risk is a hot three-point night from both teams plus late fouls.
Best Bet: Dartmouth +6.5 (-106).
NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
Short-to-mid spreads are where number shopping matters most, because +6.5 and +7.5 change the entire bet when the game is likely to live in one-to-two possession territory late. Start with NCAAB picks to see how the slate is shaping up, then compare pricing and totals on the college basketball odds page so you’re not taking a worse number than you need.
If you’re building a Friday card across conferences, the NCAAB previews hub keeps matchups organized by start time so you can manage exposure. And when you want to see which handicappers are consistently beating these tight spread games, the handicappers leaderboard is the cleanest way to compare records and ROI before you lock in your side or total.
