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Dayton Flyers vs Florida State Seminoles Betting Preview
Dayton Flyers (8-3) host the Florida State Seminoles (5-5) on Tuesday night in Dayton. The Flyers look to extend their nonconference home streak and earn a third Power 5 win, while Florida State seeks to halt a four-game skid under first-year coach Luke Loucks.
Line Movement and Odds
- Dayton Flyers Spread: -9.5
- Florida State Seminoles Spread: +9.5
- Dayton Flyers MoneyLine: -480
- Florida State Seminoles MoneyLine: +360
- Total: 147.5
Dayton opened as a strong favorite, reflecting their home dominance and Florida State’s recent struggles. The Flyers’ 32-game nonconference home winning streak has boosted confidence, while the Seminoles’ defensive lapses have widened the line. The total of 147.5 points suggests expectations for a moderately high-scoring contest, shaped by Dayton’s efficiency and Florida State’s pace. See updated numbers and market shifts on the College Basketball Odds page.
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Matchup Breakdown
Dayton Flyers Outlook
Dayton defeated North Florida 84-61, extending their nonconference home streak to 32 games. Georgia transfer De’Shayne Montgomery leads with 16.1 points per game and scored 23 on 9-of-10 shooting in the win. Coach Anthony Grant emphasized preparation and identity-building as Dayton seeks to strengthen its NCAA Tournament resume. The Flyers average 77.2 points per game and thrive on balanced scoring and defensive discipline.
Florida State Seminoles Outlook
The Seminoles have lost four straight, surrendering 95+ points in three of those games. Jacksonville transfer Robert McCray V leads with 14.8 points, 6.2 assists, and 5.1 rebounds per game, while Lajae Jones adds 12.5 points. Coach Luke Loucks acknowledged inconsistent effort and defensive breakdowns as key issues. Florida State averages 74.6 points per game but has struggled to defend elite opponents, especially on the road.
Key Matchup / Path to Victory
Dayton’s home-court dominance and Montgomery’s scoring versus Florida State’s defensive struggles is the focal battle. The Flyers must continue their efficient shooting and rebounding, while the Seminoles rely on McCray’s playmaking to stay competitive.
Injuries / Availability
Dayton: Full roster available.
Florida State: Full roster available.
Betting Trends
- Dayton has won 32 straight nonconference home games.
- Montgomery leads Dayton with 16.1 points per game.
- Florida State has lost four straight games, allowing 95+ points in three.
- McCray leads FSU with 14.8 points and 11 assists vs. UMass.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Projected Final Score: Dayton 79, Florida State 68
- Pick: Dayton -9.5. The Flyers’ home-court edge and balanced scoring should allow them to cover.
- Total: Under 147.5. Florida State’s inconsistency and Dayton’s defensive focus point to a slightly lower total.
Expect Dayton to continue its nonconference home dominance, with Montgomery leading the way, while Florida State struggles to find defensive consistency on the road.
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