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Delaware Fightin’ Blue Hens vs Missouri State Bears Game Preview
Delaware heads to Springfield on Saturday afternoon for a Conference USA matchup with Missouri State at Great Southern Bank Arena. Missouri State is priced as a solid home favorite, and the number makes sense given how much steadier the Bears have been in their building this season. Delaware’s road profile has been shakier, but the Blue Hens bring a style that can keep them live as a two-possession underdog. If Delaware is making threes and holding up defensively, it can trade possessions and keep this within the spread even if Missouri State controls the game overall.
From a betting standpoint, this is a pace-and-shot-quality handicap. Missouri State has the more reliable scoring base, but Delaware’s three-point efficiency is the reason the market can’t push this into double digits. If the Blue Hens are converting from deep, they can absorb short runs and stay connected. If the threes don’t fall, it becomes much harder to cover because Missouri State can win the possession battle through free throws and offensive rebounding and turn a close game into separation late.
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Delaware Fightin’ Blue Hens vs Missouri State Bears Odds
These are the current betting lines, and bettors should keep tracking movement throughout the day on the latest college basketball odds board.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware Fightin’ Blue Hens | +265 | +7.5 (-112) | O 133.5 |
| Missouri State Bears | -360 | -7.5 (-113) | U 133.5 |
Delaware Fightin’ Blue Hens Betting Form
Delaware comes in off a tight 68-66 win over FIU, a game that matters for bettors because it shows the Blue Hens can execute in the final possessions. Justyn Fernandez and Tyler Houser combined for 38 points, and that kind of concentrated scoring is useful when you’re catching points, because it often means the offense has clear roles and late-game shot creators. Delaware has won two of its last three in your notes, and that recent form is important when the road record is underwhelming, because momentum can stabilize teams that are otherwise inconsistent away from home.
The Blue Hens’ offensive profile is built around efficiency and spacing rather than sheer volume. They shoot 44.4% from the field and 35.5% from three, which is strong enough to keep them competitive in a slower game where every possession matters. That three-point number is also the primary reason a +7.5 spread is attractive, because you can cover without dominating the interior if your threes are consistently landing. Christian Bliss is the engine at 15.9 points per game, and Delaware’s cover script likely requires him to be efficient while the supporting pieces knock down open looks created by his pressure. For a quick check of recent results and splits, use the Delaware Fightin’ Blue Hens team page. Availability matters, so monitor the Delaware injury report before tip.
Missouri State Bears Betting Form
Missouri State enters off a 79-78 loss to Louisiana Tech that could easily have been a win, and the important piece from that game is that the Bears’ top players produced at a high level. Kobi Williams scored 24, and Michael Osei-Bonsu posted 22 points and 13 rebounds, which reinforces the idea that Missouri State has the scoring and rebounding base needed to win at home even when the margins are thin. The home record sits at 10-4, and that’s the foundation for laying -7.5, because the Bears have been more consistent in Springfield than on the road.
Missouri State averages 75.5 points per game and gets to the line at a strong rate, which is a key late-game covering trait. When favorites are reliable at the stripe, they can extend margins in the final two minutes without needing to play perfect halfcourt offense. Keith Palek III (18.2 PPG) gives them a steady lead option, and Osei-Bonsu’s interior presence matters in this matchup because it can limit Delaware’s second-chance chances and force the Blue Hens to rely on perimeter scoring. If Missouri State controls the glass and keeps Delaware from getting rhythm threes early, the Bears’ path to covering becomes much cleaner. Track form and roster notes on the Missouri State Bears team page, and check the Missouri State injury report before you lock anything in.
Delaware Fightin’ Blue Hens vs Missouri State Bears Matchup Breakdown
This matchup is defined by the three-point line and how the game is officiated. Delaware’s most realistic edge is spacing. If the Blue Hens can generate clean catch-and-shoot looks and convert at their season rate, they can keep this in the 3-to-8 point range for most of the game. That matters because +7.5 covers a lot of scripts, including a game where Missouri State leads by double digits briefly but Delaware answers with two threes and forces a tighter finish.
Missouri State’s counter is to make this physical and force Delaware into tougher attempts. If the Bears can run the Blue Hens off the line, win the glass, and keep the game at a controlled tempo, Delaware’s offense becomes more dependent on shot-making late in the clock. That also ties to the total. At 133.5, the market is expecting a slower game with fewer possessions and more halfcourt execution. If Missouri State’s defense keeps Delaware’s three-point volume down, the under stays live. If Delaware is hitting early threes and Missouri State responds by pushing pace or trading quick looks, the total can get threatened even without a true track meet.
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Delaware Fightin’ Blue Hens vs Missouri State Bears Predictions and Best Bets
I lean Delaware +7.5. Missouri State should win more often than not at home, but the number is asking for a clean margin against a road underdog that can score in bunches from three and has enough perimeter efficiency to avoid long scoring droughts. The model projection you provided, Missouri State 72-66, fits a game where the Bears control the second half but Delaware remains within the number because a few made threes erase separation quickly.
On the total, I lean under 133.5. The market is already low, but Delaware’s offense can stagnate if it isn’t getting clean perimeter looks, and Missouri State is comfortable playing through the halfcourt when it has a lead. The key risk is a foul-heavy finish if Missouri State is up 6-10 late and Delaware extends the game, but the overall pace profile supports a lower-scoring outcome more often than not.
Best Bet: Delaware +7.5 (-112).
NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
When you’re betting mid-range road underdogs like Delaware, entry point is a big part of the edge. Start on the college basketball odds board and watch whether +7.5 is holding or getting bet down to +6.5, because losing a point in this range can change the entire handicap. If you like Delaware, the value is often highest before the market settles, but you still want to confirm any late injury or lineup news that could affect shooting and rotation depth.
Next, use the NCAAB previews hub to compare pace environments and total ranges across the slate. That helps you decide whether a low total like 133.5 is a true defensive spot or simply two teams that play slow. Then cross-check the NCAAB picks page to see if verified handicappers are aligning on the dog, the total, or a correlated angle. Finally, anchor your process with the handicappers leaderboard to identify which cappers consistently beat closing lines, not just who had a good week. In games like this, where a couple made threes can decide the cover, disciplined pricing and consistent process are what separate good bets from guesses.
