Duke Blue Devils vs Smu Mustangs Picks and Predictions January 10th 2026

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The Duke Blue Devils enter 14-1 and look to extend their unbeaten ACC start, while the SMU Mustangs aim to bounce back from a tough road loss in this Top 25 clash at Cameron Indoor Stadium.

Line Movement and Odds

Duke opened as the favorite, with the line reflecting confidence in their offensive depth and home-court edge. Current market:

  • Duke Spread: -7.5 (-110)
  • SMU Spread: +7.5 (-110)
  • Duke MoneyLine: -330
  • SMU MoneyLine: +270
  • Total: 148.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

Duke Outlook

Duke averages 84.7 points per game, with Cameron Boozer, Isaiah Evans, and Caleb Foster leading the offense. Boozer (27 points vs Louisville) has scored 20+ in nine games, Evans (22.7 ppg in ACC play) adds consistency, and Foster’s breakout 20-point performance highlighted his growth. Their 14-1 overall record and 3-0 ACC mark underscore dominance, with coach Jon Scheyer emphasizing collective defense and offensive efficiency.

SMU Outlook

SMU averages 79.4 points per game, with Boopie Miller, Zhuric Phelps, and Jalen Smith providing scoring depth. Miller (21 points vs Duke last season) remains a key weapon, though the Mustangs struggled in their 74-70 loss at Clemson. Their 12-3 overall record and 1-1 ACC mark underscore competitiveness, with coach Andy Enfield emphasizing discipline and shot selection after a slow start in their last outing.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

The game hinges on Duke’s ability to maintain offensive rhythm through Boozer and Evans, while SMU must lean on Miller and Phelps to pace the offense. If Duke controls tempo and perimeter defense, their depth should create separation. SMU’s hopes rest on improved shooting and limiting turnovers to stay competitive.

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Injuries / Availability

Duke: No injuries reported.

SMU: No notable injuries listed.

Environment

Cameron Indoor Stadium provides Duke with a strong home-court edge, where they look to extend their winning streak. SMU’s balanced offense highlights their ability to compete, though road challenges remain a factor.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Duke 81, SMU 72

  • Duke -7.5 → Best Bet. Their offensive balance and home-court advantage make them the sharper side.
  • Under 148.5 → Total play. Both teams’ defensive adjustments point toward a combined score below the line.

Duke’s depth and Boozer’s efficiency should dictate the game, while SMU’s offense keeps the spread in play. Expect a competitive contest trending under the total.

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