Florida Gators vs Colgate Raiders Picks and Predictions December 21st 2025

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Florida heads into its final stretch of non-conference play still refining its guard rotation, but the overall profile remains dangerous. The No. 23 Gators are 7-4 and coming off a dominant 102-61 win over Saint Francis, their most complete offensive showing in weeks. You can follow updated pricing and market movement on the NCAA basketball odds page as Florida prepares to host Colgate in Gainesville.

The focus has been on the backcourt. Xaivian Lee and Boogie Fland have faced early comparisons to last season’s title-winning guards, but the chemistry is trending upward. Lee has led Florida in scoring in three straight games and looks more comfortable controlling tempo alongside Fland.

Colgate arrives at 6-5 after a loss to St. Bonaventure but has won four of its last five games. The Raiders are accustomed to road challenges and have already tested themselves against ranked opponents this season.

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Line Movement and Odds

Florida opened as a sizable home favorite, a number supported by its interior dominance and rebounding edge. Colgate’s disciplined offense and experience against high-major competition have kept the spread from inflating further.

The total sits in a moderate range. Florida’s frontcourt efficiency pushes scoring upward, while Colgate’s half-court patience can shorten possessions. For similar matchup context across the slate, the college basketball previews page provides added perspective.

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Matchup Breakdown

Florida’s strength is inside. Alex Condon and Rueben Chinyelu anchor a frontcourt that controls the glass and facilitates offense. Chinyelu averages a double-double and finishes efficiently, while Condon contributes across all categories. When Florida establishes post touches early, the floor opens for Lee and Fland to attack.

Colgate counters with balance and execution. Jalen Cox is the engine, averaging 16 points, over five rebounds, and more than five assists per game while shooting better than 55 percent from the field. Andrew Alekseyenko and Sam Wright provide secondary scoring, but Colgate must avoid foul trouble against Florida’s size.

If Colgate stays efficient from the perimeter and limits second-chance points, it can remain competitive deeper into the game. For comparison against other projected outcomes, the free college basketball picks page helps frame the spread.

Injuries and Conditions

Florida

No major rotation concerns reported.
Full details: Florida team page

Colgate

Several players have been managing minor issues, but the expectation is close to full availability.
Full details: Colgate team page

Indoor matchup, no external conditions.

Best Bets and Prediction

Florida’s interior advantage and improving guard play should control the game. Colgate’s experience keeps it competitive early, but sustaining offense against Florida’s size for 40 minutes is difficult.

Projected Score: Florida 82, Colgate 66
Best Bet: Florida ATS
Secondary Lean: Under, if Colgate successfully slows tempo

For situational betting structure and matchup evaluation, review the Bettors Handbook.

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