Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels Picks and Predictions February 5th 2026

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Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels Betting Preview

The Florida Gulf Coast Eagles visit the Eastern Kentucky Colonels in an Atlantic Sun Conference matchup at Baptist Health Arena in Richmond. Florida Gulf Coast enters with a 9-14 record and momentum from a win over Jacksonville, while Eastern Kentucky aims to defend its 11-12 overall mark after a loss to Central Arkansas. With the Colonels favored by 1.5 points, this contest highlights a battle between Eagles’ defensive intensity and Colonels’ perimeter shooting.

Line Movement and Odds

Eastern Kentucky is favored, but Florida Gulf Coast’s recent defensive performance makes this line worth tracking. Current market:

  • Florida Gulf Coast Spread: +1.5 (-118)
  • Eastern Kentucky Spread: -1.5 (-102)
  • Florida Gulf Coast MoneyLine: -102
  • Eastern Kentucky MoneyLine: -118
  • Total: 154.5 (-110)

Check the college basketball picks for real-time updates, especially as bettors weigh Eastern Kentucky’s home advantage against Florida Gulf Coast’s ability to cover spreads.

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Matchup Breakdown

Florida Gulf Coast Outlook

The Eagles average 79.2 points per game, with Jordan Ellerbee, Tristen Guillouette, and Zach Anderson leading the offense. Ellerbee’s 15 points vs Jacksonville highlighted his efficiency, while Guillouette’s rebounding adds balance. Florida Gulf Coast’s efficiency (8.7 made threes per game, 147th nationally; 68 points allowed vs Jacksonville) underscores their strengths. Their ability to defend and score from the perimeter makes them dangerous underdogs.

Eastern Kentucky Outlook

The Colonels average 80.1 points per game, with MJ Williams, Jayden Harris, and Montavious Myrick driving production. Williams’ near triple-double vs Central Arkansas highlighted his versatility, while Harris’ scoring adds balance. Eastern Kentucky’s efficiency (11.4 made threes per game, 16th nationally; 5-5 at home) underscores their strengths. Their ability to score efficiently from beyond the arc and rebound makes them tough to beat in Richmond.

Key Factors

This matchup may hinge on perimeter shooting and defensive intensity. Florida Gulf Coast thrives on Ellerbee’s scoring and Guillouette’s rebounding, while Eastern Kentucky must rely on Williams’ playmaking and Harris’ consistency to tilt the game. Execution in the final minutes will likely decide whether Florida Gulf Coast can cover the spread.

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Injuries / Availability

Florida Gulf Coast: The Eagles report no fresh injury concerns heading into Thursday’s contest.

Eastern Kentucky: The Colonels are expected to have their full rotation available.

Environment

Baptist Health Arena has been a steady venue for Eastern Kentucky, where they’ve gone 5-5 this season. Florida Gulf Coast, however, has shown resilience with recent road wins, making this a clash of Colonels’ home dominance versus Eagles’ defensive grit.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Florida Gulf Coast 78, Eastern Kentucky 77

  • Florida Gulf Coast +1.5 → Best Bet. Their defensive intensity and perimeter shooting suggest they can keep the game closer than expected.
  • Under 154.5 → Total play. Both teams’ shooting averages point toward a combined score just under the line.

Florida Gulf Coast’s depth and defensive resilience should carry them to a narrow victory, while Eastern Kentucky’s perimeter accuracy keeps the spread competitive. Expect a contest that leans lower-scoring, with totals landing just under the posted number.

Handicappers and Service Plays

Atlantic Sun games often spotlight tempo mismatches and perimeter battles. Our Best Handicappers highlight analysts who specialize in conference efficiency trends, while the Leaderboard tracks who’s delivering consistent returns. For Florida Gulf Coast vs Eastern Kentucky, premium insights are also available at Buy Picks, helping bettors decide whether the spread or total offers the sharper edge.

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