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Game Preview Florida State Seminoles vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
The Florida State Seminoles look to continue their historic start under head coach Luke Loucks when they host the Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners on Tuesday, November 25, 2025. Tip-off is at 7:00 PM ET from the Donald L. Tucker Center in Tallahassee, Florida, and the game will be televised on ACC Network.
Florida State enters at 4-1 and has already made waves with record-setting performances. Robert McCray V set a program-best 17 assists in the opener, and Lajae Jones tied the school record for made threes in a game with 10 in a 98-72 win over Georgia Southern. The Seminoles are averaging a blistering 94 points per game and are first in the country in three-point attempts per game (39.0).
Cal State Bakersfield is 3-3 but 0-2 against Power 5 teams this season. They most recently defeated Mississippi Valley State 86-70, behind 23 points from Dailin Smith, who has now scored 53 points in his last two games. The Roadrunners are averaging 73.8 points per game but struggle from deep and play at a much slower tempo than the Seminoles.
Florida State is a heavy 23.5-point favorite at home, and their pace, firepower, and depth make them a serious threat to cover that number.
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Odds and Key Information
| Category | Advantage |
|---|---|
| Three-Point Shooting | Florida State |
| Tempo & Possessions | Florida State |
| Free Throw Attempts | For live line moves, check NCAAB odds and scores |
| Rebounding | Even |
| Recent Form | Florida State |
Florida State Seminoles Outlook
Florida State’s offense is on a record-setting pace. Averaging 94.0 points per game and leading Division I in three-pointers made (13.8 per game), the Seminoles have embraced pace and space under Loucks. Lajae Jones is the focal point after his 36-point outburst last game, and McCray V continues to facilitate at an elite level.
Their pace of 76.9 possessions per game ranks among the top 10 nationally, and their 49 three-point attempts last game set a new ACC record. Florida State is 4-0 at home and 4-1 against the spread this season, showing the ability to cover large numbers with ease.
The key to another blowout win will be applying early pressure, pushing the tempo, and riding the hot hand beyond the arc. The Roadrunners’ slow pace and limited firepower could struggle to keep up.
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners Outlook
Cal State Bakersfield doesn’t attempt many threes (just 16.8 per game, bottom 20 in the country), but they’ve found recent scoring success behind the resurgence of Dailin Smith. Smith, who missed last season due to injury, is now averaging 17.0 points per game and gives the Roadrunners a much-needed scoring presence.
Ronald Jessamy and CJ Hardy add rebounding and secondary scoring, and Bakersfield draws fouls at a high rate—ranking 41st in free throw attempts per game. That could help them slow the pace and get to the line if the Seminoles are overly aggressive.
Still, Bakersfield has allowed 82+ points in both games vs major programs (losses to Cal and Ole Miss). Their defense will be under extreme stress against the highest-paced team they’ve faced all season.
Betting Trends
- Florida State is 4-1 ATS this season
- The Seminoles are 4-0 ATS at home
- Cal State Bakersfield is 2-4 ATS overall
- Roadrunners are 0-2 ATS vs major conference teams
- Over is 3-1 in Florida State’s last 4
- Florida State is 3-1 ATS when favored by 15+ points
Want more betting edges? View verified cappers’ plays at NCAAB picks
Prediction
Florida State has been dominant at home and has shown no signs of slowing down. The Seminoles are not just winning—they’re blowing teams out with tempo, threes, and unselfish play. Bakersfield, meanwhile, doesn’t have the offensive firepower or pace to keep this close unless Florida State completely cools off.
Expect another scoring outburst from FSU and a double-digit lead by halftime. Dailin Smith could help Bakersfield avoid a total collapse, but the size, shooting, and depth of the Seminoles will likely lead to a comfortable win.
Projected Score: Florida State 98, Bakersfield 72
Pick: Florida State -23.5
Total Lean: Under 157.5
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