Florida State Seminoles vs Jacksonville Dolphins Picks and Predictions December 22nd 2025

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The Florida State Seminoles enter 6-6 and look to build momentum before ACC play, while the Jacksonville Dolphins aim to stay competitive behind Jaylen Jones in this non-conference matchup at the Donald L. Tucker Center.

Line Movement and Odds

Florida State opened as a heavy favorite, with the line reflecting confidence in their home-court edge. Current market:

  • Florida State Spread: -24.5 (-110)
  • Jacksonville Spread: +24.5 (-110)
  • Florida State MoneyLine: -10000
  • Jacksonville MoneyLine: +2800
  • Total: 157.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

Jacksonville Outlook

Jacksonville averages 77.1 points per game, with Jaylen Jones and Chris Arias leading the offense. Their perimeter shooting (8.9 threes per game) and effective field goal percentage (53.2%) highlight efficiency. Their 5-7 record and 0-3 road mark underscore inconsistency, though Jones’ scoring surge provides stability.

Florida State Outlook

Florida State averages 84.8 points per game with Robert McCray V, Cam Miles, and Chauncey Wiggins providing scoring depth. Their perimeter shooting (11.4 threes per game) and pace (75.7 possessions per game, 20th nationally) highlight offensive strength. Their 6-2 home record underscores betting confidence heading into ACC play.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

The game hinges on Florida State’s ability to improve perimeter accuracy, while Jacksonville must lean on Jones to pace the offense. If Florida State controls tempo and rebounds, their depth should create separation.

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Injuries / Availability

Jacksonville: No injury updates provided.

Florida State: No injury updates provided.

Environment

The Donald L. Tucker Center provides Florida State with a strong home-court edge, where they are 6-2 this season. Jacksonville’s road struggles highlight the difficulty of competing in Tallahassee.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Florida State 87, Jacksonville 67

  • Jacksonville +24.5 → Best Bet. Their scoring ability and perimeter shooting make them a strong cover candidate.
  • Under 157.5 → Total play. Jacksonville’s slower pace points toward a combined score below the line.

Florida State’s depth and shooting should dictate the game, but Jacksonville’s offense keeps the spread in play. Expect a competitive contest trending under the total.

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