Florida State Seminoles vs Nc State Wolfpack Picks and Predictions January 10th 2026

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The Florida State Seminoles enter 7-8 and look to secure their first ACC win, while the NC State Wolfpack aim to build on their breakthrough road victory in this clash at Donald L. Tucker Center.

Line Movement and Odds

NC State opened as the favorite, with the line reflecting confidence in their perimeter shooting and overall form. Current market:

  • NC State Spread: -5.5 (-110)
  • Florida State Spread: +5.5 (-110)
  • NC State MoneyLine: -220
  • Florida State MoneyLine: +180
  • Total: 146.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

Florida State Outlook

Florida State averages 72.3 points per game, with Chauncey Wiggins, Kobe MaGee, and Cameron Corhen leading the offense. Their perimeter shooting showed promise in their loss to Duke (46.7% from three, 14 makes), highlighting offensive potential. Their 7-8 overall record and 0-2 ACC mark underscore struggles, though coach Luke Loucks emphasizes improvement and resilience.

NC State Outlook

NC State averages 78.9 points per game, with Darrion Williams, DJ Horne, and Jayden Taylor providing scoring depth. Williams’ resurgence (22 points vs Boston College) and the team’s perimeter accuracy (ACC-leading 38.9% from three) highlight offensive strength. Their 11-5 overall record and 2-1 ACC mark underscore competitiveness, with coach Will Wade emphasizing ball movement and efficiency.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

The game hinges on NC State’s ability to maintain perimeter efficiency, while Florida State must lean on Wiggins and MaGee to pace the offense. If NC State controls tempo and continues its hot shooting, their depth should create separation. Florida State’s hopes rest on replicating their perimeter success and improving defensive rebounding.

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Injuries / Availability

Florida State: No injuries reported.

NC State: No notable injuries listed.

Environment

Donald L. Tucker Center provides Florida State with a home-court edge, where they look to snap their ACC skid. NC State’s balanced offense highlights their ability to compete in Tallahassee despite road challenges.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: NC State 77, Florida State 70

  • NC State -5.5 → Best Bet. Their perimeter shooting and offensive balance make them the sharper side.
  • Under 146.5 → Total play. Both teams’ defensive adjustments point toward a combined score below the line.

NC State’s depth and perimeter shooting should dictate the game, while Florida State’s offense keeps the spread in play. Expect a competitive contest trending under the total.

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