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Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs Cal Poly Mustangs Betting Preview
The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors look to extend their strong season record, while the Cal Poly Mustangs aim to defend their home court in this Big West clash at Mott Athletics Center.
Line Movement and Odds
Hawaii enters as the favorite, but Cal Poly’s home form makes this line competitive. Current market:
- Hawaii Spread: -6.5 (-112)
- Cal Poly Spread: +6.5 (-111)
- Hawaii MoneyLine: -296
- Cal Poly MoneyLine: +229
- Total: 155.5 (-110)
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Matchup Breakdown
Hawaii Outlook
The Rainbow Warriors average 79.5 points per game, with Isaac Johnson and Aaron Hunkin-Claytor leading the offense. Johnson’s 15 points vs UC Irvine highlighted his consistency, while Hunkin-Claytor added balance. Hawaii’s rebounding (40.4 per game) and free-throw production (18.5 made per game) underscore their strengths. Their 12-3 record and recent 88-45 road win over UC Riverside show resilience, while their effective field goal percentage (53.2%) highlights efficiency.
Cal Poly Outlook
The Mustangs average 81.4 points per game, with Hamad Mousa, Jake Davis, and Cayden Ward driving production. Mousa’s 24 points and 10 rebounds vs UC Davis showcased his impact, while Davis and Ward added balance. Cal Poly’s perimeter shooting (11 threes per game, 22nd nationally) and free-throw accuracy (76.3%) highlight their offensive rhythm. Their 7-11 record and 4-3 home mark show competitiveness, while rebounding (39 per game) adds interior strength.
Key Factors
This matchup may hinge on pace and perimeter defense. Hawaii thrives on rebounding and free-throw efficiency, while Cal Poly must rely on three-point shooting and balanced scoring to stay close. Turnovers and late-game execution will likely decide the margin.
Injuries / Availability
Hawaii: No injuries reported.
Cal Poly: No notable injuries listed.
Environment
Mott Athletics Center has been a solid venue for Cal Poly, where they’ve gone 4-3 this season. Hawaii enters with confidence from recent wins, making this a clash of home resilience vs road strength.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Projected Final Score: Hawaii 78, Cal Poly 75
- Cal Poly +6.5 → Best Bet. Their perimeter shooting and home-court advantage suggest they can stay within the number.
- Under 155.5 → Total play. Both teams’ pace and efficiency point toward a combined score just below the line.
Hawaii’s depth and rebounding should carry them to victory, while Cal Poly’s offense keeps the spread in play. Expect a competitive contest with totals landing just under the posted number.
Handicappers and Service Plays
Big West games often create unique betting opportunities. Our Best Handicappers highlight experts who consistently read market trends, while the Leaderboard shows who’s riding hot streaks. Premium insights in Buy Picks provide deeper reasoning behind each wager. For contests like Hawaii vs Cal Poly, expert perspectives can help identify sharp angles in spreads and totals.
