Incarnate Word Cardinals vs Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros Picks and Predictions January 5th 2026

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Incarnate Word Cardinals vs Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros Betting Preview

The Incarnate Word Cardinals enter 8-6 and look to extend their perimeter shooting, while the Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros aim to defend home court in this Southland Conference matchup at UTRGV Fieldhouse.

Line Movement and Odds

Texas-Rio Grande Valley opened as the slight favorite, with the line reflecting confidence in their home-court strength. Current market:

  • Texas-Rio Grande Valley Spread: -1.5 (-106)
  • Incarnate Word Spread: +1.5 (-120)
  • Texas-Rio Grande Valley MoneyLine: -121
  • Incarnate Word MoneyLine: -104
  • Total: 146.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

Incarnate Word Outlook

Incarnate Word averages 82.1 points per game, with Tahj Staveskie, Davion Bailey, and Josh Morgan leading the offense. Their perimeter shooting (9.9 threes per game, 40.1% 3PT, 22nd nationally) and effective FG% (54.9%, 87th nationally) highlight balance. Their 1-5 road record underscores inconsistency, though their 8-6 overall mark shows competitiveness heading into Southland play.

Texas-Rio Grande Valley Outlook

Texas-Rio Grande Valley averages 75.2 points per game, with Jaylen Washington, Filip Brankovic, and Marvin McGhee III providing scoring depth. Their perimeter shooting (38.2% 3PT, 41st nationally) and ball movement (16.1 assists per game, 103rd nationally) highlight offensive strength. Their 5-9 overall record underscores resilience despite recent struggles.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

The game hinges on Incarnate Word’s ability to maintain perimeter shooting, while Texas-Rio Grande Valley must lean on Washington and McGhee III to pace the offense. If Incarnate Word controls tempo and ball movement, their depth should create separation.

Injuries / Availability

Incarnate Word: No injury updates provided.

Texas-Rio Grande Valley: No injury updates provided.

Environment

UTRGV Fieldhouse provides the Vaqueros with a home-court edge, where they are 3-4 this season. Incarnate Word’s balanced offense highlights their ability to compete in Edinburg.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Incarnate Word 80, Texas-Rio Grande Valley 76

  • Incarnate Word +1.5 → Best Bet. Their offensive pace and perimeter shooting make them the sharper side.
  • Over 146.5 → Total play. Both teams’ scoring averages point toward a combined score above the line.

Incarnate Word’s depth and shooting should dictate the game, while Texas-Rio Grande Valley’s offense keeps the spread in play. Expect a competitive contest trending over the total.

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