Iowa Hawkeyes vs Maryland Terrapins Picks and Predictions February 11th 2026

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Iowa Hawkeyes vs Maryland Terrapins Picks and Predictions – Wednesday, February 11, 2026

The Iowa Hawkeyes head to XFINITY Center in College Park, Maryland on Wednesday, February 11, 2026 for a Big Ten matchup with the Maryland Terrapins. The market is treating Iowa as the clearly stronger side in this spot, installing the Hawkeyes as a double-digit road favorite, but conference games like this often come down to style: does the favorite control pace and shot quality, or does the home dog keep it close by winning the “effort” possessions and turning it into a grind?

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With Iowa laying -10.5 and the total sitting at 141.5, bettors are effectively wagering on two things: whether Iowa can build (and protect) a margin away from home, and whether the game plays at a tempo that supports the number on the board.

Iowa Hawkeyes vs Maryland Terrapins Odds

You can always track movement and updated prices leading into tip on the latest college basketball odds page.

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Iowa Hawkeyes-680-10.5 (-113)141.5
Maryland Terrapins+440+10.5 (-112)141.5

Iowa Hawkeyes Betting Form

Laying -10.5 on the road is never “free,” even when the favorite is clearly better. For Iowa to cover this number, the Hawkeyes need to avoid the two things that typically let home underdogs hang around: live-ball turnovers that create runouts, and offensive rebounds that turn one defensive stop into two or three scoring chances.

Iowa’s best covering script is steady, efficient offense paired with enough defensive rebounding to end possessions cleanly. If the Hawkeyes are consistently getting quality looks and keeping Maryland out of transition, this spread becomes much more manageable because it forces the Terps to score against a set defense and win with half-court execution.

For matchup context and recent performance indicators, check the Iowa Hawkeyes team page. And before you place a bet, confirm availability on the Iowa Hawkeyes injury report.

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Maryland Terrapins Betting Form

Maryland’s case as a +10.5 home dog starts with controlling the game’s “possession math.” If the Terps can take care of the ball, rebound well enough to limit second chances, and get to the free-throw line, they can stay connected even if Iowa shoots better over 40 minutes.

The other piece for Maryland is pace. A slower, more physical game generally helps a big underdog because it reduces total possessions and increases the value of each empty trip. If Maryland can force Iowa into longer possessions and keep the Hawkeyes from scoring quickly in transition, the cover window stays open deeper into the second half.

You can keep tabs on Maryland’s recent results and home performance on the Maryland Terrapins team page, and monitor late lineup news on the Maryland injury report.

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Iowa Hawkeyes vs Maryland Terrapins Matchup Breakdown

This handicap is mostly about game flow:

  • Can Maryland stay composed with the ball? If the Terps give Iowa easy points off turnovers, it becomes hard to cover +10.5 because those are points Maryland can’t “defend” in the half court.
  • Who wins the rebounding finish? Ending possessions matters even more when you’re catching double digits. If Iowa is earning extra looks, a close game can turn into a 10–14 point margin quickly.
  • What does the foul script look like late? If Iowa leads by 6–10 in the final minutes, late free throws can push a near-cover into a cover. If Maryland is close late, the total can rise quickly with stoppages.

On the total, 141.5 sits in a workable middle. The over gets help from transition, early offense, and late fouling if the game stays competitive. The under gets help if Maryland succeeds in slowing tempo and both teams are forced into longer half-court possessions.

Iowa Hawkeyes vs Maryland Terrapins Predictions and Best Bets

My lean is Iowa -10.5 (-113). The market is asking Iowa to do what good teams do in conference road spots: control possessions, avoid gifting points, and separate over time. Maryland can absolutely keep this tight if they protect the ball and turn it into a half-court game, but Iowa has the cleaner path to dictating pace and building a margin—especially if the Hawkeyes avoid the turnover-runout trap that brings a home crowd back into it.

On the total, I lean slightly under 141.5, mostly because Maryland’s best chance to cover involves slowing the game down and making possessions heavier. That said, this is a lighter lean than the side, because a close finish can still create a free-throw-driven push upward late.

Best Bet: Iowa Hawkeyes -10.5 (-113).

NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats

If you’re building out a full card beyond one game, start with today’s college basketball picks and compare price movement against the market on the college basketball odds board. For broader matchup context across the slate, the NCAAB previews hub is the quickest way to scan similar profiles (road favorites, home dogs, and totals sitting in the same range).

And if you’re tracking who’s consistently beating numbers over the long run, use the handicappers leaderboard to compare verified performance and find cappers that match how you prefer to bet sides and totals.

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