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Iowa State Cyclones vs Alcorn State Braves Betting Preview
The Iowa State Cyclones host the Alcorn State Braves at Hilton Coliseum in Wednesday NCAA action. No. 10 Iowa State looks to stay perfect while resting star guard Tamin Lipsey ahead of a showdown with Purdue. Alcorn State enters with a 1-8 record, facing one of the toughest non-conference schedules in the nation.
Line Movement and Odds
- Iowa State Cyclones Spread: -40.5 (-115)
- Alcorn State Braves Spread: +40.5 (-111)
- Total: 151.5 (Over -110, Under -110)
Iowa State opened as massive favorites at home. See full NCAA Basketball odds for market movement.
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Matchup Breakdown
Alcorn State Braves Outlook
Alcorn State fell 83-58 to Louisiana Tech after beating Indiana State 81-74. Shane Lancaster leads with 10.9 points per game and shoots 52.9% from three, while Tycen McDaniels and Davian Williams add scoring depth. The Braves average 67 points per game and shoot 36.8% from three, ranking 74th nationally. Despite their struggles, they are 5-4 ATS as underdogs, showing resilience against large spreads.
Iowa State Cyclones Outlook
Iowa State routed Syracuse 95-64 behind Milan Momcilovic’s 24 points and Joshua Jefferson’s double-double. Jefferson averages 17.6 points, 7.9 rebounds, and 5.0 assists per game, while Momcilovic adds 16.9 points and has hit 26 threes this season. Freshman Killyan Toure has stepped up in Lipsey’s absence. The Cyclones average 91.1 points per game and shoot 52.7% from the field, ranking 10th nationally. They are 7-0 overall and 6-0 at home.
Key Matchup / Path to Victory
Alcorn State’s perimeter shooting vs Iowa State’s offensive depth. The Braves must rely on Lancaster and McDaniels to generate scoring, while Iowa State needs Jefferson and Momcilovic to continue leading the attack. Iowa State’s depth and efficiency make them overwhelming favorites.
Injuries / Availability
Alcorn State reports no major injury concerns, with Lancaster leading the offense.
Iowa State lists Tamin Lipsey (groin) as out, with Jefferson and Momcilovic driving production.
Betting Trends
- Alcorn State is 5-4 ATS as underdogs this season.
- Alcorn State has lost six road games by 19+ points.
- Iowa State is 7-0 overall and 6-0 at home.
- Iowa State averages 91.1 points per game and shoots 52.7% from the field.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Projected Final Score: Iowa State 95, Alcorn State 60
- Alcorn State +40.5 (-111) → Best Bet. Braves’ ATS record and three-point shooting suggest they can stay within the spread.
- Under 151.5 (-110) → Total. Our model projects 155 points, but Alcorn State’s low scoring and Iowa State’s defense lean under.
Iowa State’s offensive efficiency and home dominance should secure the win, but Alcorn State’s perimeter shooting may keep the margin manageable. Expect the Cyclones to win comfortably with the total trending under.
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