Iowa State Cyclones vs Iowa Hawkeyes Picks and Predictions December 11th 2025

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Iowa State Cyclones (9-0) host the Iowa Hawkeyes (8-1) on Thursday night in Ames. The Cyclones enter brimming with confidence after a historic upset of Purdue, while the Hawkeyes look to build on their bounce-back win over Maryland.

Line Movement and Odds

  • Iowa State Cyclones Spread: -7.5
  • Iowa Hawkeyes Spread: +7.5
  • Total: 148.5

See updated lines and totals on the College Basketball Odds page.

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Matchup Breakdown

Iowa State Cyclones Outlook

Iowa State stunned Purdue 81-58, shooting 54.1% from the field and hitting 11 threes. Milan Momcilovic led with 20 points, while Killyan Toure, Blake Buchanan, and Joshua Jefferson provided balanced scoring. Coach T.J. Otzelberger praised Jefferson’s versatility and work ethic, noting his impact across multiple facets of the game. The Cyclones’ confidence is soaring as they enter this rivalry clash.

Iowa Hawkeyes Outlook

Iowa rebounded from a loss at Michigan State with an 83-64 win over Maryland. Bennett Stirtz scored 25 points, while Cam Manyawu, Tate Sage, and Cooper Koch added double figures. Coach Ben McCollum highlighted Sage’s development and defensive growth. The Hawkeyes’ offense has shown balance, but consistency will be tested against Iowa State’s elite defense and momentum.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

Iowa State’s perimeter shooting versus Iowa’s defensive adjustments is the focal battle. The Cyclones thrive on ball movement and confidence from deep, while the Hawkeyes must contain Momcilovic and Jefferson while finding steady scoring from Stirtz and Sage.

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Injuries / Availability

Iowa State: Full roster available.
Iowa: Full roster available.

  • Iowa State is 9-0, including a 23-point win over No. 1 Purdue.
  • Iowa is 8-1, rebounding with a win over Maryland after a Big Ten loss.
  • The Cyclones have covered in three straight games.
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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Iowa State 78, Iowa 69

  • Pick: Iowa State -7.5. The Cyclones’ confidence and home-court edge should carry them past Iowa.
  • Total: Under 148.5. Expect defensive intensity in a rivalry game to keep scoring modest.

Iowa State should extend its unbeaten run, with Momcilovic and Jefferson leading the way against a gritty Hawkeyes squad.

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