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Kansas Jayhawks vs Baylor Bears Picks and Predictions January 16th 2026

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The Baylor Bears look to build on their offensive momentum, while the Kansas Jayhawks aim to extend their home dominance in this Big 12 showdown at Allen Fieldhouse.

Line Movement and Odds

Kansas enters as the favorite, but Baylor’s scoring depth makes this line intriguing. Current market:

  • Baylor Spread: +7.5 (-105)
  • Kansas Spread: -7.5 (-120)
  • Baylor MoneyLine: +286
  • Kansas MoneyLine: -382
  • Total: 155.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

Baylor Outlook

The Bears average 88.7 points per game, with Cameron Carr, Tounde Yessoufou, and Michael Rataj leading the offense. Carr’s 20.3 points per game highlight his consistency, while Yessoufou’s 23 points vs Oklahoma State showcased his efficiency. Baylor’s shooting (49.7% FG, 25th nationally) and offensive rhythm underscore their strengths. Their 11-5 record and 3-3 road mark show resilience, making them a dangerous underdog.

Kansas Outlook

The Jayhawks average 77.9 points per game, with Darryn Peterson, Tre White, and Flory Bidunga driving production. Peterson’s 21.8 points per game highlight his impact, while White’s 19 points and 10 rebounds vs Iowa State showcased his versatility. Kansas’ shooting efficiency (53.9% eFG, 114th nationally) and 7-2 home record underscore their strengths. Their 12-5 record and ability to win as favorites highlight consistency at Allen Fieldhouse.

Key Factors

This matchup may hinge on pace and perimeter defense. Baylor thrives on offensive firepower and balanced scoring, while Kansas must rely on efficiency and home-court energy to tilt the game. Turnovers and rebounding will likely decide the margin.

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Injuries / Availability

Baylor: Dan Skillings Jr. (leg) questionable.

Kansas: Darryn Peterson (hamstring/quadriceps) expected to play limited minutes.

Environment

Allen Fieldhouse has been a fortress for Kansas, where they’ve gone 7-2 this season. Baylor enters with confidence from their win over Oklahoma State, making this a clash of home strength vs offensive rhythm.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Kansas 80, Baylor 76

  • Baylor +7.5 → Best Bet. Their scoring depth suggests they can stay within the number.
  • Under 155.5 → Total play. Both teams’ pace and efficiency point toward a combined score just below the line.

Kansas’ depth and home-court advantage should carry them to victory, while Baylor’s offense keeps the spread in play. Expect a competitive contest with totals landing just under the posted number.

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