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Kansas State vs UNC Greensboro Betting Preview
Kansas State opens its season Tuesday night in Manhattan, Kan., against UNC Greensboro in a matchup of two rebuilt programs heading in different directions.
The Wildcats were picked ninth in the 16-team Big 12, a position that still keeps NCAA Tournament hopes alive. The Spartans, meanwhile, were projected fifth in the Southern Conference after a 20–12 finish last season.
It’s the first-ever meeting between these schools. Both rosters are nearly unrecognizable from last year — Kansas State returns four players, UNC Greensboro just three. Coach Mike Jones’ Spartans have consistently hit 20 wins, but Jerome Tang’s Wildcats are expecting a much higher ceiling this season behind All-American guard P.J. Haggerty, who transferred from Memphis after averaging 21.8 points per game.
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Line Movement and Odds
The Wildcats opened as 12-point favorites with a total around 135. The line has since tightened to Kansas State −10 and the total dipped to 132 as early money leaned toward the UNDER. Public bettors are backing Kansas State, but sharper wagers have landed on UNC Greensboro catching the points.
Check live updates and full lines on the NCAA basketball odds page
Matchup Breakdown
Kansas State Outlook:
Tang’s team looks completely different. Haggerty gives Kansas State an elite ball handler who can create his own shot, and transfer Abdi Bashir Jr. brings one of the country’s purest perimeter strokes after leading Monmouth in 3-pointers last year. Forward Mobi Ikegwuruka adds size and athleticism to a fast-paced system that will rely heavily on spacing and tempo.
UNC Greensboro Outlook:
The Spartans enter with strong defensive principles under Jones but lack size to match the Wildcats up front. Expect UNC Greensboro to slow the pace and lean on guard experience to counter Kansas State’s athletic advantage.
If you’re tracking coaching trends and betting stats, see the expert betting guide for how market edges develop early in the season.
Injuries and Conditions
- Kansas State Wildcats: No major injuries reported. Check the Kansas State team page
- UNC Greensboro Spartans: Healthy entering the opener. View the UNC Greensboro team page
Indoor matchup, so no weather factors.
Best Bets and Prediction
Kansas State has covered in 12 of its last 18 home games and should control tempo with Haggerty leading the offense. UNC Greensboro’s recent totals have trended UNDER, and with market support leaning that way, expect a defensive tone early.
Projected Score: Kansas State 78, UNC Greensboro 62
Best Bet: Kansas State −10
Lean: Under 132
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