Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns vs Texas State Bobcats Picks and Predictions January 14th 2026

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Ragin’ Cajuns vs Bobcats Picks and Predictions – Wednesday January 14, 2026

Louisiana-Lafayette heads to San Marcos on Wednesday night for a Sun Belt matchup with Texas State at Strahan Arena. Tip is set for 8:00 PM ET, with ESPN+ carrying the stream. The market is telling you what it thinks: Texas State is a clear home favorite, laying 9.5 points, in a game with a low total that expects Louisiana-Lafayette to struggle to score.

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This is the kind of board where you decide quickly what you believe about one thing: can Louisiana-Lafayette function on offense on the road? If the answer is no, the side and the under can both be live. If the answer is yes, the spread gets dicey and the total looks short.

Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns vs Texas State Bobcats Odds

These are the current betting lines, and you should keep monitoring updated college basketball odds for any late movement.

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns+350+9.5 (-118)131.5
Texas State Bobcats-450-9.5 (-102)131.5

Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns Betting Form

Louisiana-Lafayette is 4-14 overall and 1-8 away from home, which is usually enough to keep me from getting cute with an underdog, especially in a conference road spot. They just lost 90-70 to Troy, and the bigger issue wasn’t that they lost, it’s that the game got away early and never really stabilized. Dorian Finister’s 25 points mattered for box score pride, but it didn’t translate into a competitive team output.

Offensively, the Cajuns are still searching for reliable possession-to-possession scoring. They can hit threes in volume at times, and that’s the only lever that truly changes the math for a team like this. If Louisiana-Lafayette is making shots from deep, it can survive stretches where it’s losing the glass or turning it over. If those threes aren’t falling, scoring becomes a grind, and that’s when road teams start pressing and the turnover spiral follows.

For trends and results, start with Louisiana-Lafayette stats and results.

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Texas State Bobcats Betting Form

Texas State is 9-9 overall, but the home split is the real reason they’re laying 9.5 here. The Bobcats are 8-2 at Strahan Arena, and they’ve consistently played with more edge on that floor, especially defensively. Even in the 83-82 loss to Arkansas State, the effort level was there, and the production from the frontcourt was solid, which matters against a Cajuns team that can disappear on offense.

The Bobcats aren’t an elite shooting team, but they’re functional, and their profile fits this matchup. They shoot 46.5% as a team and they create extra possessions with pressure, averaging 9.5 steals per game. That’s the most important stat on the board. Louisiana-Lafayette’s worst stretches come when it can’t get organized, and Texas State is the kind of opponent that forces you to play faster than you want.

For the schedule and home/road splits, use the Texas State schedule and stats.

Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns vs Texas State Bobcats Matchup Breakdown

Texas State’s edge is tempo control through defense. Not because they play fast by choice, but because steals turn into runouts and bad shots turn into early-clock opportunities. That’s exactly the profile you want when you’re laying points at home against a road team that hasn’t traveled well. If Texas State can win the turnover battle by a few possessions, it usually creates enough margin for a -9.5 type of number.

The other key is shot selection. Louisiana-Lafayette’s best path to scoring is perimeter shooting. If the Cajuns are hitting threes, they can stay connected even if they’re losing the possession battle. If they’re missing early and falling behind, it tends to turn into rushed attempts, and that’s where Texas State can extend a lead with a couple quick spurts.

The total is tricky. 131.5 looks low, but it’s priced to Louisiana-Lafayette’s scoring problems and their road form. If Texas State’s pressure creates easy points, the under can be threatened even if Louisiana-Lafayette is inefficient. But if Texas State controls the game in the half court and the Cajuns are stuck in the low 50s or low 60s again, the under can still cash comfortably.

Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns vs Texas State Bobcats Predictions and Best Bets

My lean is Texas State -9.5. This is a pure matchup number for me. Texas State is strong at home, it creates turnovers, and it’s facing a team that has struggled badly away from home and has too many empty offensive possessions. If the Bobcats win the turnover battle and get anything resembling a normal shooting night, they should build separation.

I’m also leaning under 131.5, but it’s not as clean as it looks. The game script matters. If Texas State’s steals turn into easy baskets, the under can get uncomfortable quickly. Still, the baseline expectation is Louisiana-Lafayette struggling to score in the half court, and that’s usually enough to keep the total in check.

If you’re playing one angle, I’d rather trust Texas State’s defense creating margin than rely on Louisiana-Lafayette to stay competent for 40 minutes.

Best Bet: Texas State -9.5

NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats

If you’re building a broader card, start with the college basketball picks page to compare sides and totals across the full slate. For more matchup breakdowns in this format, the NCAAB previews hub keeps everything organized by day.

To track who’s actually beating the market, use the best handicappers section and the live handicapper leaderboard. If you want premium packages, you can browse buy picks.

For quick team context across the country, the college basketball teams hub is the easiest jump-off point. If you’re comparing books, the sportsbook reviews page helps, and the handicappers sites reviews section is useful if you’re evaluating additional pick services. For broader angles beyond a single game, the main ScoresAndStats blog is a good place to explore.

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