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History is on the line tonight at Millett Hall as the #22 Miami (OH) RedHawks (26-0) look to remain the nation’s final unbeaten team. Standing in their way are the Bowling Green Falcons (16-11), who head into Oxford for an 8:30 PM ET tip-off on CBS Sports Network. The RedHawks have been a juggernaut at home, boasting a perfect 15-0 record in front of their fans, while the Falcons have proven they can be a tough out on the road with a balanced 5-5 away mark. Oddsmakers have Miami (OH) as a 7.5-point favorite, though late movement in some markets has seen that number stretch to 8 or 8.5.
These MAC rivals already met back on December 30, with Miami securing a 93-83 victory. However, that scoreline was a bit deceptive; the RedHawks led by 26 at halftime before Bowling Green mounted a furious second-half comeback. Since then, Miami has navigated several “Houdini” escapes to keep their record perfect, while Bowling Green has established itself as one of the conference’s elite defensive rebounding units. With both teams featuring high-octane offenses, this Friday night clash promises plenty of fireworks.
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Bowling Green vs Miami (OH) Odds
Below are the current betting lines for Friday’s matchup. Lines are subject to change, so be sure to monitor the latest college basketball odds as tip-off approaches.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
| Bowling Green | +282 | +7.5 (-106) | O 153.5 (-110) |
| Miami (OH) | -375 | -7.5 (-121) | U 153.5 (-110) |
Bowling Green Falcons Betting Form
Bowling Green’s identity revolves around star guard Javontae Campbell, who recently eclipsed the 2,000-point career milestone. Campbell is a defensive menace, leading the nation with 3.3 steals per game, and is one of only four players in the country with 500+ points and 135+ assists this season. The Falcons average 81.9 points per game and rank 43rd nationally in field goal percentage (48.1%). You can find a more detailed breakdown of their recent road performance on the Bowling Green stats and results page.
The Falcons’ biggest hurdle tonight will be finding consistent secondary scoring. While Troy Glover II (coming off a perfect 5-for-5 night) and Sam Towns provide solid support, shooters like Mayar Wol and Josiah Shackelford have struggled in recent outings. Defensively, the Falcons have held their last four MAC opponents under 40% shooting, but they face a different beast tonight in Miami’s top-ranked efficiency. Bettors should also note that Sam Towns put up 24 points in the first meeting this year, making his frontcourt matchup a key area to watch.
Miami (OH) RedHawks Betting Form
The RedHawks are the definition of an offensive machine. They lead the nation in field goal percentage (53.5%) and rank 4th in scoring with 92.3 points per game. Peter Suder (14.8 PPG) and Luke Skaljac have stepped up significantly since the season-ending injury to Evan Ipsaro. Skaljac, who took over primary ball-handling duties in January, has turned the RedHawks into one of the most “unflappable” units in the country according to coach Travis Steele. Check their historical home dominance on the Miami (OH) schedule and stats page.
While their offense gets the headlines, the RedHawks have survived several close calls lately, including a narrow 86-77 win over UMass and two overtime escapes in January. Their 15-0 home record at Millett Hall is bolstered by an effective field goal percentage of 62.4%, which is 2nd in the nation. To see if their depth is fully intact for tonight’s nationally televised game, check the Miami (OH) injury report before placing any wagers.
Bowling Green vs Miami (OH) Matchup Breakdown
This game is a classic battle of “Efficiency vs. Volume.” Miami doesn’t necessarily need a high number of shots to score 90 points because they shoot at such a high clip from both inside the arc (62%) and the perimeter (38%). Bowling Green’s defensive strategy will likely focus on running the RedHawks off the three-point line, where Miami scorched them for 48% in their first meeting. If Campbell can use his nation-leading steals to create transition buckets, Bowling Green can keep this game within a possession.
Rebounding will also be a major factor. Bowling Green is one of the better defensive rebounding teams in the MAC, which is vital because giving this Miami offense second-chance opportunities is a recipe for a blowout. If the Falcons can dominate the glass and force Miami into a half-court grind, they have a legitimate shot at ending the RedHawks’ perfect season. For more on how to handicap these MAC powerhouses, visit our NCAAB betting guide.
Bowling Green vs Miami (OH) Predictions and Best Bets
Miami (OH) is clearly the better team, but 7.5 points is a generous cushion for a Bowling Green squad that has already shown it can play the RedHawks tough in the second half. Javontae Campbell’s ability to disrupt passing lanes should give the Falcons enough extra possessions to hang around. While Miami likely moves to 27-0, Bowling Green’s defensive improvements since late January make them a strong candidate to cover the spread.
On the total, the Over 153.5 is the most appealing play. Both teams rank in the top 75 nationally in scoring, and their previous meeting saw 176 total points. Even with Bowling Green’s improved defense, slowing down the nation’s most efficient offense in their own gym is a tall task. I’m projecting a final score in the neighborhood of 85-78.
Best Bet: Over 153.5 (-110).
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NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
Finding an edge in the MAC requires following the league’s unique trends and home-court splits. You can find today’s college basketball picks on ScoresAndStats to see how our experts are playing the rest of the Friday slate. Our handicapper leaderboard allows you to see which pros have been the most profitable in mid-major basketball this season.
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