Michigan State Spartans vs Indiana Hoosiers Picks and Predictions January 13th 2026

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The Michigan State Spartans look to defend their home floor, while the Indiana Hoosiers aim to bounce back and secure a Quad 1 win in this Big Ten showdown at the Breslin Center.

Line Movement and Odds

Michigan State enters as the favorite, but Indiana’s offensive firepower makes this line competitive. Current market:

  • Michigan State Spread: -6.5 (-119)
  • Indiana Spread: +6.5 (-106)
  • Michigan State MoneyLine: -293
  • Indiana MoneyLine: +228
  • Total: 142.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

Michigan State Outlook

The Spartans average 78.9 points per game, with Jaxon Kohler, Jeremy Fears Jr., Coen Carr, and Carson Cooper forming a balanced core. Kohler’s double-double ability and Fears’ playmaking (8.8 assists per game) highlight their strengths. Michigan State’s rebounding (16th nationally) and ball movement (19.2 assists per game, 13th nationally) underscore their efficiency. Their 14-2 record and 12-1 home mark show consistency, though they’ve struggled recently against Indiana.

Indiana Outlook

The Hoosiers average 84.5 points per game, with Lamar Wilkerson, Tucker DeVries, and Tayton Conerway leading the offense. Wilkerson’s 32 points vs Nebraska showcased his scoring punch, while DeVries’ 17 points added balance. Indiana’s shooting efficiency (48.3% FG, 57th nationally) and perimeter scoring (10.6 threes per game) highlight their offensive depth. Their 12-4 record and recent 4-1 run in the last five games show momentum, though road struggles remain a concern.

Key Factors

This matchup may hinge on perimeter shooting and rebounding. Indiana thrives on three-point accuracy, while Michigan State must rely on rebounding and ball movement to control tempo. Turnovers and defensive execution will likely decide the margin.

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Injuries / Availability

Michigan State: No injuries reported.

Indiana: No notable injuries listed.

Environment

The Breslin Center has been a fortress for Michigan State, where they’ve gone 12-1 this season. Indiana enters with confidence from strong offensive performances, but their 1-2 road record highlights inconsistency away from Bloomington.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Michigan State 80, Indiana 77

  • Indiana +6.5 → Best Bet. Their scoring balance and perimeter shooting suggest they can stay within the number.
  • Over 142.5 → Total play. Both teams’ offensive strengths point toward a combined score above the line.

Michigan State’s depth and home-court advantage should carry them to victory, while Indiana’s offense keeps the spread in play. Expect a high-scoring contest with totals surpassing the posted number.

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