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Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview
The Mississippi State Bulldogs look to rebound at home, while the Alabama Crimson Tide aim to halt their SEC skid in this conference clash at Humphrey Coliseum.
Line Movement and Odds
Alabama enters as the favorite, but Mississippi State’s home record keeps this line intriguing. Current market:
- Mississippi State Spread: +6.5 (-114)
- Alabama Spread: -6.5 (-111)
- Mississippi State MoneyLine: +215
- Alabama MoneyLine: -274
- Total: 172.5 (-110)
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Matchup Breakdown
Mississippi State Outlook
The Bulldogs average 80.0 points per game, with Josh Hubbard leading the way at 22.8 ppg. Hubbard’s 20 points vs Kentucky underscored his scoring ability, though turnovers cost Mississippi State in that loss. Their rebounding (40.6 per game, 41st nationally) is a strength, helping them control tempo. Their 7-4 home record and recent 7-3 run in the last ten games highlight resilience, though consistency remains a challenge against elite opponents.
Alabama Outlook
The Crimson Tide average 93.5 points per game, with Labaron Philon Jr. and Aden Holloway driving the offense. Philon’s 21 points vs Texas highlighted his leadership, while Holloway’s perimeter shooting (46.3% from three) adds firepower. Alabama’s efficiency (12.8 threes per game, 5th nationally) underscores their offensive dominance. Their 11-5 record and 80% win rate as favorites show reliability, though defensive struggles (82.7 points allowed per game) remain a concern.
Key Factors
This matchup may hinge on pace and rebounding. Alabama thrives in high-scoring games, while Mississippi State must rely on Hubbard’s scoring and rebounding to slow the Tide’s attack. Turnovers and defensive execution will likely decide the margin.
Injuries / Availability
Mississippi State: No injuries reported.
Alabama: No notable injuries listed.
Environment
Humphrey Coliseum has been a reliable venue for Mississippi State, where they’ve gone 7-4 this season. Alabama enters with a 4-3 road record, making this a test of their ability to win away from Tuscaloosa.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Projected Final Score: Alabama 95, Mississippi State 84
- Alabama -6.5 → Best Bet. Their offensive firepower and efficiency should help them cover the spread.
- Over 172.5 → Total play. Both teams’ scoring profiles point toward a combined score above the line.
Alabama’s depth and offensive rhythm should carry them to victory, while Mississippi State’s rebounding and Hubbard’s scoring keep the game competitive. Expect a high-scoring contest with totals surpassing the posted number.
Handicappers and Service Plays
SEC games often create unique betting opportunities. Our Best Handicappers spotlight experts who consistently read market trends, while the Leaderboard shows who’s riding hot streaks. Premium insights in Buy Picks provide deeper reasoning behind each wager. For contests like Mississippi State vs Alabama, expert perspectives can help identify sharp angles in spreads and totals.
