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Mississippi State Bulldogs vs San Francisco Dons Betting Preview
The Mississippi State Bulldogs face the San Francisco Dons at Cadence Bank Arena in Tupelo. Mississippi State (4-4) looks to build momentum after a road win at Georgia Tech, while San Francisco (5-4) seeks to snap a three-game skid. Bettors must weigh Mississippi State’s pace and scoring against San Francisco’s perimeter shooting.
Line Movement and Odds
- Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread: -4.5 (-108)
- San Francisco Dons Spread: +4.5 (-117)
- Mississippi State Bulldogs MoneyLine: -193
- San Francisco Dons MoneyLine: +157
- Total: 147.5 (Over -110, Under -110)
Mississippi State opened as favorites at the neutral site. See full NCAA Basketball odds for market movement.
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Matchup Breakdown
San Francisco Dons Outlook
San Francisco fell 65-63 to North Alabama despite a strong start. Mookie Cook scored 12 points with 7 rebounds, while Ryan Beasley leads the team with 13.1 points per game. The Dons average 75.7 points per game and rank 35th nationally in three-point shooting (38.0%), making 9.9 threes per contest. Their effective FG percentage of 54.4% shows efficiency, but rebounding remains a concern after allowing 19 offensive boards in their last game.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Outlook
Mississippi State defeated Georgia Tech 85-73 behind Josh Hubbard’s 25 points. Hubbard averages 23.5 points per game and anchors the offense. The Bulldogs score 80.4 points per game and rank 14th nationally in possessions per game, showcasing their fast pace. They dominated points in the paint (42-26) vs Georgia Tech, highlighting their physicality. Mississippi State has a 57.1% win rate as favorites and looks to extend momentum in Tupelo.
Key Matchup / Path to Victory
San Francisco’s perimeter shooting vs Mississippi State’s rebounding and pace. The Dons must rely on Beasley and Cook to spark offense, while the Bulldogs need Hubbard and their frontcourt to control tempo and second-chance points.
Injuries / Availability
San Francisco: No major injuries reported, Beasley leads the lineup.
Mississippi State: Full roster available, Hubbard anchors scoring.
Betting Trends
- San Francisco is 5-4 overall, on a three-game losing streak.
- San Francisco averages 75.7 points per game and shoots 38.0% from three.
- Mississippi State is 4-4 overall, coming off a road win.
- Mississippi State averages 80.4 points per game and plays at a fast pace.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Projected Final Score: Mississippi State 75, San Francisco 69
- Mississippi State -4.5 (-108) → Best Bet. Bulldogs’ pace and rebounding suggest they cover.
- Under 147.5 (-110) → Total. Our model projects 145 points, leaning under given San Francisco’s slower pace.
Mississippi State’s offensive balance and rebounding should secure the win, while San Francisco’s perimeter shooting keeps it competitive. Expect the Bulldogs to cover with the total trending under.
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