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Murray State Racers vs Evansville Aces Picks and Predictions – January 7, 2026
Wednesday night brings a Missouri Valley matchup between two teams heading in opposite directions. The Murray State Racers travel to the Ford Center to take on the Evansville Aces, with tipoff scheduled for 8:00 PM ET. Murray State enters as solid road favorites at -8.0, holding a 10–5 record and riding a four-game win streak. Meanwhile, Evansville is struggling to stay competitive, sitting at just 5–10 overall with defensive issues mounting.
This is a crucial spot for the Racers, who are aiming to climb the conference ladder and solidify their top-half standing. For Evansville, this is more about survival — they’ve been outgunned and outpaced in most recent outings and face another tough matchup against a team that can run, shoot, and punish mistakes. The total at 156.5 suggests pace will be a factor, with both teams preferring to push tempo when possible.
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Murray State Racers vs Evansville Aces Odds
Here’s a look at the latest betting lines. Always check the latest college basketball odds for real-time updates before placing any bets.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Murray State Racers | -340 | -8.0 (-110) | O 156.5 (-110) |
| Evansville Aces | +260 | +8.0 (-110) | U 156.5 (-110) |
Murray State Racers Betting Form
Murray State is clicking at the right time. Offensively, they’re among the top scoring teams in the Missouri Valley, putting up over 80 points per game during their current win streak. They rely on fast-paced guard play and early offense, constantly hunting transition buckets and open threes. Defensively, they’re not elite — but they do enough, especially when they’re able to build a lead and dictate tempo.
The Racers’ biggest edge lies in their athleticism and energy. They attack the rim, get to the line, and clean up misses with aggressive offensive rebounding. Turnovers haven’t been a major issue, and their depth has improved with consistent bench production in recent games. Stay updated on the Murray State injury report before tip. For more on team form and results, visit the Murray State stats and results.
Evansville Aces Betting Form
Evansville continues to spiral, losing five of their last six while giving up an average of 84 points per game over that stretch. Their defense simply hasn’t held up — they allow high-percentage looks both at the rim and from beyond the arc, and they lack the rim protection needed to slow athletic teams like Murray State. The Aces try to play fast, but their inefficiency often turns into quick empty possessions.
Offensively, Evansville does have a few capable scorers, and at home, they’ve had stretches of competitive play. But foul trouble, rebounding issues, and a lack of defensive structure have prevented them from stringing together stops. If they fall behind early, it’s usually tough for them to recover. Keep an eye on the Evansville injury report for any key absences. You can track team stats and recent games at the Evansville schedule and stats.
Murray State Racers vs Evansville Aces Matchup Breakdown
Expect Murray State to dictate the tempo and push Evansville into uncomfortable spots defensively. The Racers excel at attacking early in the shot clock, and Evansville has shown little ability to slow down dribble penetration or defend in space. This could get away from the Aces if they’re not careful with early turnovers or missed box-outs.
Murray State should own the rebounding edge, and they’ll likely get to the free-throw line at a higher rate. Evansville might have a small edge in three-point volume, but their accuracy hasn’t been strong enough to overcome their defensive gaps. This isn’t just a talent gap — it’s a mismatch in execution and pace control.
- Murray State’s transition game vs Evansville’s poor transition defense
- Racers’ FT rate and offensive rebounding = key extra possessions
- Evansville vulnerable to early runs; struggles to claw back
- Total may hinge on whether Evansville can contribute enough scoring
For more matchup-based betting strategies, visit our college basketball betting guide and get insights on pace, shot profile, and foul rate trends.
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Murray State Racers vs Evansville Aces Predictions and Best Bets
Even on the road, Murray State looks like the right side here. They’ve shown the ability to cover these kinds of numbers, especially against teams that can’t protect the paint or limit transition. Evansville may hang around early with some home energy, but it’s hard to trust their defense over 40 minutes — or their ability to generate consistent offense when playing from behind.
The total at 156.5 is high, but that’s justified given Murray’s pace and offensive firepower. If Evansville can knock down enough threes and push back in garbage time, the Over has life. Still, I’d lean slightly under based on how often Evansville’s offense stalls. Main angle remains on the side.
Best Bet: Murray State -8.0 (-110)
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