New Mexico State Aggies vs Missouri State Bears Picks and Predictions January 4th 2026

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New Mexico State Aggies vs Missouri State Bears Betting Preview

The New Mexico State Aggies enter 8-4 and look to extend their offensive form, while the Missouri State Bears aim to defend home court in this Conference USA matchup at Great Southern Bank Arena.

Line Movement and Odds

New Mexico State opened as the slight favorite, with the line reflecting confidence in their scoring efficiency. Current market:

  • New Mexico State Spread: -1.5 (-106)
  • Missouri State Spread: +1.5 (-119)
  • New Mexico State MoneyLine: -120
  • Missouri State MoneyLine: -105
  • Total: 134.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

New Mexico State Outlook

New Mexico State averages 77.2 points per game, with Jemel Jones, Elijah Elliott, and Anthony Wrzeszcz leading the offense. Their rebounding edge (37.8 per game, 154th nationally) and balanced scoring highlight competitiveness. Their 2-3 road record underscores inconsistency, though their 8-4 overall mark shows resilience heading into C-USA play.

Missouri State Outlook

Missouri State averages 73.8 points per game, with Kobi Williams, Keith Palek III, and Michael Osei-Bonsu providing scoring depth. Their shooting efficiency (53.1% FG in their last win) and 7-2 home record highlight offensive strength. Their 8-5 overall record underscores betting confidence heading into conference play.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

The game hinges on New Mexico State’s ability to maintain offensive rhythm, while Missouri State must lean on Williams and Osei-Bonsu to pace the offense. If New Mexico State controls tempo and boards, their depth should create separation.

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Injuries / Availability

New Mexico State: No injury updates provided.

Missouri State: No injury updates provided.

Environment

Great Southern Bank Arena provides Missouri State with a strong home-court edge, where they are 7-2 this season. New Mexico State’s balanced offense highlights their ability to compete in Springfield.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: New Mexico State 75, Missouri State 72

  • New Mexico State -1.5 → Best Bet. Their offensive pace and efficiency make them the sharper side.
  • Under 134.5 → Total play. Both teams’ slower pace points toward a combined score below the line.

New Mexico State’s depth and shooting should dictate the game, while Missouri State’s offense keeps the spread in play. Expect a competitive contest trending under the total.

Handicappers and Service Plays

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