North Carolina Tar Heels vs Ohio State Buckeyes Picks and Predictions December 20th 2025

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The North Carolina Tar Heels enter 10-1 and ranked No. 12 nationally, while the Ohio State Buckeyes look to secure a marquee win in the CBS Sports Classic. Bettors will weigh North Carolina’s consistency against Ohio State’s offensive efficiency in this neutral-site showdown at State Farm Arena.

Line Movement and Odds

North Carolina opened as a slight favorite, with the line reflecting confidence in their overall record. Current market:

  • North Carolina Spread: -4.5 (-110)
  • Ohio State Spread: +4.5 (-116)
  • North Carolina MoneyLine: -197
  • Ohio State MoneyLine: +158
  • Total: 154.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

North Carolina Outlook

North Carolina averages 80.7 points per game with Caleb Wilson and Henri Veesaar leading the frontcourt. Their rebounding edge (42.1 per game, 25th nationally) and balanced scoring highlight efficiency. Their 8-0 record as favorites underscores betting confidence, though coach Hubert Davis continues to stress consistency across 40 minutes.

Ohio State Outlook

Ohio State averages 87.6 points per game with Bruce Thornton leading at 21.8 points. Their shooting efficiency (51.2% FG, 21st nationally) and effective field goal percentage (58.5%) highlight offensive strength. Their recent double-overtime win over West Virginia reflects resilience, while their 8-2 record underscores momentum.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

The game hinges on tempo and rebounding. North Carolina must lean on Wilson and Veesaar to control boards, while Ohio State needs Thornton and Mobley Jr. to pace the offense. If Ohio State maintains shooting efficiency, they can keep the margin tight.

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Injuries / Availability

North Carolina: Seth Trimble is progressing from a forearm injury but his status remains uncertain.

Ohio State: No confirmed injury updates available. You can check each team’s injury report for the latest status.

Environment

State Farm Arena in Atlanta provides a neutral-site setting. Caleb Wilson’s return to his hometown adds intrigue, while Ohio State looks to break their 0-3 record against UNC in the CBS Sports Classic.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: North Carolina 82, Ohio State 80

  • Ohio State +4.5 → Best Bet. Their offensive pace and efficiency make them a strong cover candidate.
  • Over 154.5 → Total play. Both teams’ scoring averages point toward a combined score above the line.

North Carolina’s depth should carry them to a narrow win, but Ohio State’s offense keeps the spread in play. Expect a competitive contest trending over the total.

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