North Carolina Tar Heels vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons Picks and Predictions January 10th 2026

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The North Carolina Tar Heels enter 13-2 and look to rebound from their worst defensive effort of the season, while the Wake Forest Demon Deacons aim to secure a signature ACC road win in this rivalry clash at Dean Smith Center.

Line Movement and Odds

North Carolina opened as the favorite, with the line reflecting confidence in their rebounding edge and home-court dominance. Current market:

  • North Carolina Spread: -8.5 (-110)
  • Wake Forest Spread: +8.5 (-110)
  • North Carolina MoneyLine: -360
  • Wake Forest MoneyLine: +290
  • Total: 147.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

North Carolina Outlook

North Carolina averages 81.4 points per game, with Caleb Wilson and Henri Veesaar leading the offense. Wilson (19.3 points, 10.9 rebounds) and Veesaar (16.3 points, 9.2 rebounds) form one of the ACC’s most dominant frontcourts. Their rebounding edge (41.8 boards per game, 23rd nationally) and interior scoring highlight offensive strength. Their 13-2 overall record underscores consistency, though their defensive lapse against SMU showed vulnerability.

Wake Forest Outlook

Wake Forest averages 77.1 points per game, with Juke Harris, Hunter Sallis, and Andrew Carr providing scoring depth. Harris (19.9 points, 6.3 rebounds) is the focal point, coming off a 28-point performance against Miami. Their perimeter shooting (52.4% 3PT vs Miami) highlights offensive potential, though rebounding struggles (35.1 boards per game, 249th nationally) remain a concern. Their 10-6 overall record underscores competitiveness, but their 1-2 ACC mark shows inconsistency.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

The game hinges on North Carolina’s ability to dominate the boards and control tempo, while Wake Forest must lean on Harris’ scoring and perimeter shooting to stay competitive. If UNC tightens its defense and Wilson/Veesaar control the paint, their depth should create separation. Wake Forest’s hopes rest on improved rebounding and Harris’ offensive spark.

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Injuries / Availability

North Carolina: No injuries reported.

Wake Forest: No notable injuries listed.

Environment

Dean Smith Center provides North Carolina with a strong home-court edge, where they have won nine straight against Wake Forest. Saturday’s clash is sold out, with UNC seeking its 500th victory in the building.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: North Carolina 80, Wake Forest 71

  • North Carolina -8.5 → Best Bet. Their rebounding edge and home-court dominance make them the sharper side.
  • Under 147.5 → Total play. Both teams’ defensive adjustments point toward a combined score below the line.

North Carolina’s depth and rebounding should dictate the game, while Wake Forest’s offense keeps the spread in play. Expect a competitive contest trending under the total.

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