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Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs Sacramento State Hornets Betting Preview
The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks look to snap their road struggles, while the Sacramento State Hornets aim to defend their home floor in this Big Sky clash at The Well.
Line Movement and Odds
Sacramento State enters as the favorite, but Northern Arizona’s shooting efficiency makes this line competitive. Current market:
- Northern Arizona Spread: +3.5 (-118)
- Sacramento State Spread: -3.5 (-108)
- Northern Arizona MoneyLine: +131
- Sacramento State MoneyLine: -163
- Total: 154.5 (-110)
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Matchup Breakdown
Northern Arizona Outlook
The Lumberjacks average 73.7 points per game, with Chris Komin, Isaiah Shaw, and Traivar Jackson providing balance. Komin’s 16 points on 83.3% shooting vs Idaho State highlighted his efficiency, while Shaw’s 50.6% FG and Jackson’s rebounding (5.8 per game) add depth. Northern Arizona’s shooting (46.6% FG, 127th nationally; 36.7% from three, 71st) underscores their offensive potential. Their 6-11 record and 0-7 road mark show inconsistency, but their ability to shoot well gives them upset potential.
Sacramento State Outlook
The Hornets average 76.9 points per game, with Mikey Williams and Prophet Johnson leading the offense. Williams’ 29 points vs Portland State showcased his scoring punch, while Johnson’s 14.9 points per game add balance. Sacramento State’s free-throw production (56th nationally in makes per game) and home record (4-1 at The Well) highlight their strengths. Their 4-11 overall record shows struggles, but their ability to score efficiently at home makes them dangerous.
Key Factors
This matchup may hinge on perimeter shooting and rebounding. Northern Arizona thrives on three-point accuracy, while Sacramento State must rely on free throws and home-court energy to tilt the game. Turnovers and late-game execution will likely decide the margin.
Injuries / Availability
Northern Arizona: No injuries reported.
Sacramento State: No notable injuries listed.
Environment
The Well has been a reliable venue for Sacramento State, where they’ve gone 4-1 this season. Northern Arizona enters with road struggles, making this a tough environment to reverse their fortunes.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Projected Final Score: Sacramento State 77, Northern Arizona 72
- Sacramento State -3.5 → Best Bet. Their home-court advantage and scoring duo suggest they can cover the spread.
- Under 154.5 → Total play. Both teams’ slower pace points toward a combined score below the line.
Sacramento State’s depth and home-court advantage should carry them to victory, while Northern Arizona’s shooting keeps the game competitive. Expect a moderately high-scoring contest with totals landing just under the posted number.
Handicappers and Service Plays
Big Sky games often create unique betting opportunities. Our Best Handicappers highlight experts who consistently read market trends, while the Leaderboard shows who’s riding hot streaks. Premium insights in Buy Picks provide deeper reasoning behind each wager. For contests like Northern Arizona vs Sacramento State, expert perspectives can help identify sharp angles in spreads and totals.
