Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Kansas State Wildcats Picks and Predictions January 17th 2026

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The Kansas State Wildcats look to break through in Big 12 play, while the Oklahoma State Cowboys aim to defend their home floor in this conference clash at Gallagher-Iba Arena.

Line Movement and Odds

Oklahoma State enters as the favorite, but Kansas State’s offensive firepower makes this line competitive. Current market:

  • Kansas State Spread: +4.5 (-108)
  • Oklahoma State Spread: -4.5 (-116)
  • Kansas State MoneyLine: +175
  • Oklahoma State MoneyLine: -219
  • Total: 177.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

Kansas State Outlook

The Wildcats average 85.6 points per game, with P.J. Haggerty, Nate Johnson, and Abdi Bashir Jr. leading the offense. Haggerty’s 23 points vs UCF highlighted his consistency, while Bashir’s perimeter shooting (44.3% from three) adds balance. Kansas State’s shooting volume (10.1 threes per game) underscores their strengths. Their 9-8 record and 2-4 road mark show inconsistency, but their offensive depth makes them a dangerous underdog.

Oklahoma State Outlook

The Cowboys average 88.4 points per game, with Anthony Roy, Parsa Fallah, and Kanye Clary driving production. Roy’s 17.6 points per game highlight his impact, while Fallah’s 18 points and 9 rebounds vs Baylor showcased his consistency. Oklahoma State’s shooting efficiency (48.4% FG, 20th nationally) and home record (11-1) underscore their strengths. Their 13-4 record and ability to win as favorites highlight resilience at Gallagher-Iba Arena.

Key Factors

This matchup may hinge on perimeter shooting and rebounding. Kansas State thrives on offensive firepower and three-point accuracy, while Oklahoma State must rely on efficiency and home-court energy to tilt the game. Turnovers and late-game execution will likely decide the margin.

Injuries / Availability

Kansas State: No injuries reported.

Oklahoma State: No notable injuries listed.

Environment

Gallagher-Iba Arena has been a fortress for Oklahoma State, where they’ve gone 11-1 this season. Kansas State enters with confidence from individual scoring performances, making this a clash of home strength vs offensive rhythm.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Oklahoma State 89, Kansas State 87

  • Kansas State +4.5 → Best Bet. Their offensive depth and scoring efficiency suggest they can stay within the number.
  • Over 177.5 → Total play. Both teams’ scoring profiles point toward a combined score above the line.

Oklahoma State’s depth and home-court advantage should carry them to victory, while Kansas State’s offense keeps the spread in play. Expect a high-scoring contest with totals surpassing the posted number.

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