The LSU Tigers and Ole Miss Rebels meet this Wednesday, February 25, 2026, with both teams desperate to snap significant losing streaks. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00 PM ET (8:00 PM local) at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion in Oxford, Mississippi. This SEC matchup features two squads currently mired at the bottom of the conference standings, looking to find any semblance of momentum before the SEC Tournament.
Ole Miss (11-16, 3-11 SEC) opens as a 1.5-point favorite at home, while LSU (14-13, 2-12 SEC) enters as a +114 underdog on the moneyline. The over/under for the contest is set at 148.5 points. With Ole Miss having lost nine straight and LSU dropping five in a row, this game represents a “must-win” for pride and postseason seeding.
LSU vs. Ole Miss Odds
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| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
| LSU Tigers | +114 | +1.5 (-110) | O 148.5 (-108) |
| Ole Miss Rebels | -135 | -1.5 (-110) | U 148.5 (-112) |
LSU Tigers Betting Form
LSU has struggled to find the win column lately, but individual performances have provided a spark. Freshman guard Jalen Reece has excelled since moving into the starting lineup, posting three consecutive double-digit scoring games. Meanwhile, senior Marquel Sutton has been a model of consistency, scoring at least 21 points in back-to-back outings.
The Tigers’ offense averages 81.0 PPG, which ranks 74th nationally, but their defense has been their Achilles’ heel, allowing 76.3 PPG. Despite their recent slide, LSU has been surprisingly reliable for bettors, boasting a 16-11 record against the spread (ATS) this season. For more detailed stats on their road performance, visit the LSU team page.
Ole Miss Rebels Betting Form
Ole Miss head coach Chris Beard is looking for a breakthrough after a brutal nine-game skid. The bright spot for the Rebels has been senior center Malik Dia, who is playing some of the best basketball of his career. Dia has averaged 25.3 points over his last three games, including a 24-point effort in a recent loss to Florida.
The Rebels have been strong at the free-throw line (88.5% in their last outing) but have struggled significantly with perimeter defense and three-point shooting (2-of-16 vs. Florida). Historically, Ole Miss has a home court advantage in Oxford, where they have a 56-42 all-time lead over the Tigers. To see how they’ve performed as home favorites, visit the Ole Miss schedule and stats.
LSU vs. Ole Miss Matchup Breakdown
This game will likely be a battle of interior stars: LSU’s Marquel Sutton versus Ole Miss’ Malik Dia. Both players are in peak scoring form, meaning the game could be decided by which supporting cast steps up. LSU’s Jalen Reece provides a speed element that could challenge a Rebels defense that allowed Florida to shoot over 57% from the floor last Saturday.
Ole Miss needs to improve their three-point efficiency to cover the 1.5-point spread. They have the shooters to do it, but the confidence has been lacking during this nine-game slide. Conversely, LSU’s ability to force turnovers and run in transition will be key to pulling off the road upset.
- Malik Dia (Ole Miss): 25.3 PPG over the last three games.
- Marquel Sutton (LSU): Double figures in 6 straight games.
- LSU ATS Record: 16-11 (7-4 as underdogs).
- Ole Miss Home Record: 11-5 overall, but struggling in conference play.
LSU vs. Ole Miss Predictions and Best Bets
When two teams in a slump meet, the “lean” often goes to the side with the better ATS history and current offensive rhythm. LSU has been much better for bettors this season (16-11 ATS) compared to Ole Miss (9-18 ATS). While the Rebels have the home-court advantage, LSU’s guards have been playing “freely” and scoring efficiently. Our model projects a 74-74 tie in regulation, making the LSU +1.5 the smart play.
For the total, both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities. With the over hitting in 11 of the last 16 Ole Miss home games, the Over 148.5 is a strong consideration.
Best Bet: LSU +1.5 (-110)
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