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The Seattle Redhawks travel to Malibu this Wednesday, February 25, 2026, to face the Pepperdine Waves in a crucial West Coast Conference (WCC) matchup. Tipoff is set for 9:00 PM ET at the Firestone Fieldhouse, and fans can stream the game live on ESPN+. As the regular season winds down, Seattle is looking to improve its seeding, while Pepperdine aims to protect its home court in one of the final conference games in this iconic venue.
Seattle (17-12, 6-10 WCC) enters the contest as a 5.5-point favorite with a moneyline of -246. Despite their solid overall record, the Redhawks have faced hurdles on the road, posting a 3-7 away record this season. Pepperdine (8-21, 3-13 WCC) sits as the +192 underdog, but their 6-10 home record and recent explosive scoring performances suggest they won’t go down easily. The over/under is set at 146.5 points.
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Seattle vs. Pepperdine Odds
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| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
| Seattle Redhawks | -246 | -5.5 (-110) | O 146.5 (-114) |
| Pepperdine Waves | +192 | +5.5 (-114) | U 146.5 (-110) |
Seattle Redhawks Betting Form
The Redhawks are coming off a convincing 71-59 victory over Portland, a game where their defense took center stage by forcing 18 turnovers and racking up 12 steals. Brayden Maldonado remains the focal point of the offense, averaging 14.2 points per game, though his status has been listed as questionable recently. If he’s a go, his ability to hit from deep (2.3 threes per game) will be vital.
Defensively, Seattle is one of the more disciplined teams in the WCC, allowing just 67.2 PPG (32nd in the nation). Their ability to turn defense into offense—averaging 8.0 steals per game—will be the key to covering the -5.5 spread on the road. For more on their defensive trends, visit the Seattle team stats.
Pepperdine Waves Betting Form
Pepperdine may have a losing record, but they possess a “spoiler” offense led by Aaron Clark, who is fresh off a monstrous 32-point performance against Oregon State. Clark averages 15.7 PPG and is a threat every time he touches the ball. Supporting him is Styles Phipps, who recently recorded a double-double with 19 points and 12 assists, proving he can orchestrate the offense at a high level.
The Waves’ primary struggle is on the defensive end, where they surrender 79.4 PPG (320th in D-1). However, they shoot a respectable 75% from the free-throw line, which keeps them competitive in close, late-game situations at Firestone Fieldhouse. To track their home-court efficiency, check the Pepperdine schedule and stats.
Seattle vs. Pepperdine Matchup Breakdown
This game presents a classic “offense vs. defense” scenario. Seattle wants to grind the game down, utilize their 4.8 blocks per game (led by Will Heimbrodt), and force Pepperdine into low-percentage looks. Pepperdine, conversely, wants to turn this into a shootout. If Aaron Clark finds his rhythm early, the Waves have the scoring ceiling to pull off an outright upset.
A key factor to watch is the rebounding battle. Seattle allows 35.8 boards per game, a weakness Pepperdine’s frontcourt—including Danilo Dozic and Yonatan Levy—will look to exploit. If the Waves can win the glass and limit Seattle’s second-chance points, they can easily cover the 5.5-point cushion.
- Aaron Clark (Pepperdine): 32 points in his last outing.
- Seattle Defense: Ranked 32nd nationally in points allowed (67.2 PPG).
- Home/Road Splits: Seattle is just 3-7 on the road; Pepperdine is 6-10 at home.
- Turnover Margin: Seattle forces 14.9 turnovers per game.
Seattle vs. Pepperdine Predictions and Best Bets
While Seattle is the more balanced team, their road struggles (seven consecutive road losses) make a 5.5-point spread risky. Pepperdine has shown they can score in bunches at home, and with Aaron Clark playing at an elite level, the Waves are a strong candidate to keep this game within two possessions. Our model projects a 75-71 Seattle victory, which points toward Pepperdine +5.5 as the value play.
Regarding the total, the Under 146.5 is the lean. Seattle’s defense typically dictates the tempo, and both teams have struggled with field goal consistency throughout the season (Seattle 44.0%, Pepperdine 42.6%).
Best Bet: Pepperdine +5.5 (-114)
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