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Portland Pilots vs San Francisco Dons Picks and Predictions – January 4th 2026
San Francisco hosts Portland at War Memorial Gymnasium on Sunday, January 4, with tipoff set for 7:00 PM ET in a West Coast Conference clash. The Dons (11–3) enter as 12.5-point favorites, while Portland (6–8) looks to snap a two-game skid and prove they can compete on the road. San Francisco has won five straight and is one of the WCC’s most balanced teams.
The total sits at 148.5, a fair number given both teams’ pace and scoring profiles. But bettors should note: while Portland likes to run, their defensive metrics continue to weigh them down — and San Francisco knows how to take advantage of mistakes.
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Portland Pilots vs San Francisco Dons Odds
These are the current betting lines for this WCC matchup. Stay updated with the latest college basketball odds.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Pilots | +646 | +12.5 (-115) | O 148.5 (-110) |
| San Francisco Dons | -1000 | -12.5 (-106) | U 148.5 (-111) |
Portland Pilots Betting Form
Portland remains a tough team to back in these spots. The Pilots have covered just once in their last five games and are giving up over 76 points per game in that span. They lean heavily on outside shooting but lack the size and discipline to close possessions on the defensive end. If the threes aren’t falling, they rarely stay within double digits.
Turnovers and fouls have been an issue, especially on the road, where their defensive efficiency ranks near the bottom in the conference. Their tempo creates opportunities — for both teams — which has pushed several recent games toward high totals. But it also leaves them vulnerable against structured, physical teams like San Francisco.
Before betting, double-check the Portland Pilots injury report for any late scratches. For more stats, visit the Portland Pilots stats and results.
San Francisco Dons Betting Form
The Dons are trending up. San Francisco has covered four of its last five and enters this game with momentum on both ends. Their defense is sharp, holding teams under 65 points in three of those wins, and their offense is balanced — capable of scoring inside and out. At home, they’ve been dominant, regularly building early leads and closing games with poise.
They rebound well, take care of the ball, and get high-percentage shots. That formula usually suffocates teams like Portland, especially late. Even their bench production has picked up recently, allowing the Dons to stay aggressive in second halves.
Make sure to check the San Francisco Dons injury report, but if they’re healthy, this is a spot where they’ve thrived. For matchup history and more insights, check the San Francisco Dons schedule and stats.
Portland Pilots vs San Francisco Dons Matchup Breakdown
This is a pace-versus-discipline matchup. Portland wants to run and shoot — but San Francisco defends the arc well and limits second chances. If the Dons control the tempo, they should also control the game.
Matchup edges:
- San Francisco dominates the glass and limits turnovers.
- Portland gives up too many open looks and struggles to defend without fouling.
- The Dons are deeper and more consistent in half-court execution.
- Garbage-time risk is low here — USF tends to close out strong even with a lead.
Unless Portland gets uncharacteristically hot from deep, it’s tough to make a case for them covering.
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Portland Pilots vs San Francisco Dons Predictions and Best Bets
This spread is sharp, but the lean is clear: San Francisco -12.5. The Dons have a complete profile, especially at home, and Portland’s weaknesses align poorly with what San Francisco does best. Expect USF to take control early and stretch the margin late.
As for the total, 148.5 feels about right. Still, there’s a small lean to the Over if Portland pushes tempo and hits just enough shots to keep things moving. But the side is the better angle.
Another angle to consider: San Francisco -7 first half. The Dons have started fast against inferior opponents and often enter the break up by double digits.
Best Bet: San Francisco Dons -12.5 (-106).
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