Providence Fiar vs Villanova Wildcats Picks and Predictions January 13th 2026

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The Providence Friars look to shore up their perimeter defense at home, while the Villanova Wildcats aim to continue their strong form in this Big East clash at the Amica Mutual Pavilion.

Line Movement and Odds

Villanova enters as the slight favorite, but Providence’s home record keeps this line competitive. Current market:

  • Providence Spread: +2.5 (-112)
  • Villanova Spread: -2.5 (-113)
  • Providence MoneyLine: +120
  • Villanova MoneyLine: -149
  • Total: 158.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

Providence Outlook

The Friars average 89.1 points per game, with Jason Edwards and Jaylin Sellers leading the offense. Edwards’ 16 points vs Xavier highlighted his scoring consistency, while Sellers remains a reliable secondary option. Providence’s free-throw accuracy (77.7%) and home record (6-4) give them tools to stay competitive. Their ATS record as underdogs (4-2) shows they can exceed expectations, though defending the three-point line remains their biggest challenge.

Villanova Outlook

The Wildcats average 81.2 points per game, with Bryce Lindsay, Acaden Lewis, and Devin Askew providing balance. Lewis’ 20 points and 8 assists vs Marquette underscored his playmaking, while Askew’s second-half scoring lifted Villanova late. Their shooting efficiency (46.8% FG, 36.1% from three) makes them dangerous against Providence’s shaky perimeter defense. Villanova’s 13-3 record and 10-1 mark when favored highlight their consistency in Big East play.

Key Factors

This matchup may hinge on three-point shooting. Villanova’s perimeter attack could exploit Providence’s defensive weakness, while the Friars must rely on offensive pace and free-throw efficiency to keep the game close. Rebounding and foul management will also play a role in determining the margin.

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Injuries / Availability

Providence: No injuries reported.

Villanova: No notable injuries listed.

Environment

The Amica Mutual Pavilion has been a solid venue for Providence, where they’ve gone 6-4 this season. Villanova enters with momentum from six wins in their last seven games, making this a clash of home resilience vs road consistency.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Villanova 82, Providence 78

  • Villanova -2.5 → Best Bet. Their perimeter shooting and efficiency should help them cover the spread.
  • Over 158.5 → Total play. Both teams’ offensive strengths point toward a combined score above the line.

Villanova’s shooting and balanced scoring should carry them to victory, while Providence’s offense keeps the game competitive. Expect a high-scoring contest with totals surpassing the posted number.

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