Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs Michigan State Spartans Picks and Predictions January 27th 2026

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The Rutgers Scarlet Knights welcome the No. 7 Michigan State Spartans to Piscataway in a Big Ten clash that could be a classic trap game. Michigan State has won six straight and sits near the top of the conference standings, but with a looming showdown against No. 3 Michigan, the Spartans must stay focused against a Rutgers team desperate to end its skid. With the Scarlet Knights struggling in league play, this matchup highlights a battle between a contender trying to avoid distraction and a home underdog looking for a spark.

Line Movement and Odds

Michigan State enters as the favorite, but Rutgers’ home-court history makes this line worth monitoring. Current market:

  • Michigan State Spread: -11.5 (-110)
  • Rutgers Spread: +11.5 (-110)
  • Michigan State MoneyLine: -650
  • Rutgers MoneyLine: +475
  • Total: 145.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

Michigan State Outlook

The Spartans average 78.4 points per game, with Jeremy Fears, Coen Carr, Jaxon Kohler, and Carson Cooper all scoring in double figures. Fears leads with 13.4 points and 8.9 assists per game, showcasing his playmaking. Michigan State’s efficiency (18-2 overall record; 8-1 Big Ten; six straight wins; +13.3 rebounding margin) underscores their strengths. Their ability to dominate the boards and spread scoring makes them a dangerous favorite.

Rutgers Outlook

The Scarlet Knights average 68.1 points per game, with Tariq Francis, Clifford Omoruyi, and Derek Simpson driving production. Francis’ 15.9 points per game highlight his consistency, while Omoruyi provides interior presence. Rutgers’ struggles (9-11 overall record; 2-7 Big Ten; three straight losses; -0.6 rebounding margin) underscore their weaknesses. Their ability to rely on Francis’ scoring and home-court energy gives them a chance to stay competitive.

Key Factors

This matchup may hinge on rebounding and defensive execution. Michigan State thrives on depth and board control, while Rutgers must rely on Francis’ scoring and improved defensive focus to tilt the game. Execution in the final minutes will likely decide the margin.

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Injuries / Availability

Michigan State: The Spartans report no fresh injury concerns heading into Tuesday’s contest.

Rutgers: The Scarlet Knights are expected to have their full rotation available.

Environment

Jersey Mike’s Arena has been a tricky venue for Michigan State, as they’ve lost their last two visits to Rutgers. The Spartans, however, enter with confidence and momentum, making this a clash of home resilience versus visiting dominance.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Michigan State 80, Rutgers 68

  • Michigan State -11.5 → Best Bet. Their rebounding and balanced scoring suggest they can cover the spread.
  • Under 145.5 → Total play. Rutgers’ offensive struggles point toward a combined score below the line.

Michigan State’s depth and rebounding should carry them to victory, while Rutgers’ offense keeps the spread in play. Expect a moderately high-scoring contest with totals landing just under the posted number.

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