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Table of Contents
Match Facts
New Hampshire and Saint Louis meet in a non-conference game on Sunday, December 21, 2025, at Chaifetz Arena in St. Louis, Missouri, with tip set for 3:00 PM ET on ESPN+. New Hampshire enters at 4-7 and still searching for a road breakthrough at 0-6 away. Saint Louis comes in rolling at 10-1 and has been strong at home at 8-1, which is a major reason this number is priced in blowout range.
This matchup is about game control. If Saint Louis plays with pace early and turns defense into quick offense, the Billikens can create separation fast. If New Hampshire can keep possessions clean, limit transition, and force Saint Louis into longer half-court trips, the Wildcats can make the game feel slower and more spread-friendly even if they’re outclassed overall.
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Line and Odds
- Spread: New Hampshire +31.5 | Saint Louis -31.5
- Total: 149.5
A spread above 30 usually reflects both talent gap and expected game script. Saint Louis is priced to score efficiently and consistently, while New Hampshire is priced as a team that may struggle to generate enough offense on the road to keep the margin from stretching. The total suggests a scoring environment where Saint Louis can get to the high-80s or 90s, with the rest dependent on whether New Hampshire can contribute enough to keep the game from stalling.
Movement Matchup
With a number this large, the key isn’t just who is better—it’s how the game unfolds after the first 10 minutes. If Saint Louis starts sharp, the game can turn into a wave of scoring runs fueled by rebounds, turnovers, and quick threes. If New Hampshire can survive the opening stretch and keep it within 12-15 points, the spread becomes harder for the favorite because the Billikens may shift into clock control, rotate deeper, and reduce possessions.
On the total, early tempo matters. If Saint Louis is getting runouts and free throws, the first half can fly over pace expectations. If New Hampshire is deliberate and Saint Louis is comfortable executing in the half court, the game can land under even if Saint Louis wins comfortably.
Breakdown Injury Reports
New Hampshire
| Player | Status | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| No injuries reported | — | No injury notes were provided for New Hampshire |
Saint Louis
| Player | Status | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| No injuries reported | — | No injury notes were provided for Saint Louis |
New Hampshire Recent performance
New Hampshire just pulled out a one-point win over Stonehill, which matters less for style points and more for proof of concept: the Wildcats can win close games when they defend, rebound, and avoid empty trips. The problem is that road games against high-level opponents compress that margin even further. If New Hampshire isn’t generating points at the line or creating second-chance looks, it becomes dependent on tough shot-making, and that’s a bad place to live against a team with Saint Louis’ athleticism and home energy.
The Wildcats’ best chance to stay competitive is to stay organized offensively, keep the ball out of trouble, and make Saint Louis score through multiple passes rather than quick bursts. If New Hampshire gets sped up and starts trading quick threes for Saint Louis paint touches, the margin can get out of hand quickly.
Saint Louis Recent performance
Saint Louis is coming off a demolition-style win and has been playing like a team that can bury opponents early. The Billikens’ season profile suggests they can score in waves and still defend well enough to keep opponents from answering. In a matchup like this, the main risk for Saint Louis isn’t ability—it’s focus and pacing. Big favorites can drift, especially if they know they can flip the switch later.
If Saint Louis takes this seriously early, the game likely follows a predictable arc: build a lead, keep New Hampshire from getting clean looks, and let depth maintain the margin. If Saint Louis is loose with the ball or doesn’t rebound, it can create just enough extra possessions for New Hampshire to hang around and threaten the number.
Betting Insights and Trends
The spread handicap comes down to whether New Hampshire can manufacture offense without feeding Saint Louis tempo. When heavy favorites cover numbers like this, it’s usually because they create easy points: steals into layups, offensive rebounds into put-backs, and frequent trips to the line. If New Hampshire can reduce those “free points,” the underdog has a much better chance to cover simply because the game becomes more possession-limited.
The total is tricky because Saint Louis can push it by itself. But blowout games often have an under-friendly second half if the favorite slows down, empties the bench, and the underdog’s efficiency drops under pressure. If New Hampshire struggles to score for long stretches, the under becomes live even with a comfortable Saint Louis win.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Best bet: Under 149.5
This is the best bet because New Hampshire’s most realistic path is a slower, more deliberate game where it tries to limit possessions and keep Saint Louis from getting transition points. Even if Saint Louis scores efficiently, a low-output game from New Hampshire plus a second half that shifts into clock management can keep this total from clearing.
Prediction: Saint Louis 92, New Hampshire 58
Handicapper section
For side bettors, laying a number above 30 requires a very specific script: Saint Louis has to play clean, force turnovers, and keep the game at a high possession count long enough to create distance. If you expect the Billikens to rotate deeper and manage minutes once the lead is secure, New Hampshire’s points become more attractive because backdoor covers are common in these spots.
For totals bettors, the under is attached to the idea that New Hampshire won’t score efficiently on the road and that Saint Louis will be comfortable draining clock once the game is in hand.
