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San Diego Toreros vs Saint Mary’s Gaels Betting Preview
The San Diego Toreros visit the Saint Mary’s Gaels in a West Coast Conference matchup at University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga. San Diego enters with a 10-14 record and looks to rebound after a narrow loss to Oregon State, while Saint Mary’s aims to defend its 14-1 home mark after falling to Gonzaga. With the Gaels favored by 19.5 points, this contest highlights a battle between San Diego’s perimeter shooting and Saint Mary’s home dominance.
Line Movement and Odds
Saint Mary’s is heavily favored, but San Diego’s ability to stay competitive makes this line worth tracking. Current market:
- San Diego Spread: +19.5 (-112)
- Saint Mary’s Spread: -19.5 (-112)
- San Diego MoneyLine: +1275
- Saint Mary’s MoneyLine: -4600
- Total: 147.5 (-110)
Check the college basketball picks for real-time updates, especially as bettors weigh Saint Mary’s home dominance against San Diego’s ability to cover spreads.
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Matchup Breakdown
San Diego Outlook
The Toreros average 76.8 points per game, with Adrian McIntyre, Assane Diop, and Tim Moore Jr. leading the offense. McIntyre’s 21 points vs Oregon State highlighted his consistency, while Diop’s double-double vs Pepperdine showcased his rebounding. San Diego’s efficiency (10-14 overall record; 2-8 on the road; 9.1 made threes per game, 117th nationally; 77.1% FT shooting, 54th nationally) underscores their strengths. Their ability to score efficiently from the perimeter makes them dangerous underdogs.
Saint Mary’s Outlook
The Gaels average 78 points per game, with Joshua Dent, Paulius Murauskas, and Aidan Mahaney driving production. Dent’s 16 points vs Gonzaga highlighted his scoring, while Murauskas’ rebounding adds balance. Saint Mary’s efficiency (19-4 overall record; 14-1 at home; 81.6% FT shooting, 21st nationally) underscores their strengths. Their ability to score efficiently and defend at home makes them tough to beat in Moraga.
Key Factors
This matchup may hinge on tempo and free throws. San Diego thrives on McIntyre’s scoring and Diop’s rebounding, while Saint Mary’s must rely on Dent’s hot hand and Murauskas’ consistency to tilt the game. Execution in the final minutes will likely decide whether San Diego can cover the spread.
Injuries / Availability
San Diego: The Toreros report no fresh injury concerns heading into Wednesday’s contest.
Saint Mary’s: The Gaels are expected to have their full rotation available.
Environment
University Credit Union Pavilion has been a fortress for Saint Mary’s, where they’ve gone 14-1 this season. San Diego, however, has shown resilience with road wins, making this a clash of Gaels’ home dominance versus Toreros’ offensive grit.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Projected Final Score: Saint Mary’s 79, San Diego 65
- San Diego +19.5 → Best Bet. Their perimeter shooting and resilience suggest they can keep the game closer than expected.
- Under 147.5 → Total play. Both teams’ slower possessions point toward a combined score below the line.
Saint Mary’s depth and efficient shooting should carry them to victory, while San Diego’s perimeter accuracy keeps the spread competitive. Expect a contest that leans lower-scoring, with totals landing just under the posted number.
Handicappers and Service Plays
West Coast Conference games often spotlight tempo mismatches and perimeter battles. Our Best Handicappers highlight analysts who specialize in mid-major conference trends, while the Leaderboard tracks who’s delivering consistent returns. For San Diego vs Saint Mary’s, expert breakdowns in college basketball picks can help bettors decide whether the spread or total offers the sharper edge.
