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South Florida Bulls vs Tulane Green Wave Picks and Predictions – Wednesday, January 28, 2026
South Florida heads to New Orleans for an AAC game against Tulane on Wednesday night at 9:00 PM ET, with the matchup set for Devlin Fieldhouse on ESPNU. The market is giving the Bulls real respect here, hanging a 7.5-point road number with a total up in the 150s. That’s a loud statement about how South Florida wants to play and how often their games turn into track meets.
Tulane isn’t the typical “slow and helpless” underdog, though. They can score in spurts, they draw fouls, and they’ve been competitive in tight games. The question is whether they can keep South Florida off the glass and out of transition long enough to make +7.5 matter late.
South Florida Bulls vs Tulane Green Wave Odds
These are the current betting lines, and bettors should monitor the latest college basketball odds as tip gets closer in case the spread or total gets pushed.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida Bulls | -361 | -7.5 (-113) | 157.5 |
| Tulane Green Wave | +266 | +7.5 (-111) | 157.5 |
South Florida Bulls Betting Form
South Florida’s offense is built to stress you for 40 minutes. They come in off an 89-75 win over Florida Atlantic, and the broader profile matches that scoreline. They push pace, they generate a ton of attempts, and they pile on free throws when opponents start reaching. For spread bettors, that’s the key: South Florida doesn’t need to shoot perfectly to cover because their volume creates separation.
The other reason the Bulls travel well is rebounding. When you rebound at an elite rate, you don’t just end possessions, you start runouts. That’s how road favorites cover numbers in conference play. If South Florida gets multiple transition stretches where Tulane is forced to defend in retreat, this can look like a two-possession game for a while and then suddenly it’s 12.
If you want the quick season snapshot for efficiency swings and game-to-game results, you can pull it from the South Florida Bulls stats and results page. The main betting note for me is consistency: even if the shots come and go, the Bulls tend to keep manufacturing points through pace, boards, and free throws.
Tulane Green Wave Betting Form
Tulane just lost 73-70 to Charlotte, and the big takeaway is they can still score even when the game tightens. They have enough shot creation and enough foul-drawing to stay connected, especially at home. That matters when you’re taking +7.5, because you don’t need to be better. You need to avoid the extended empty stretches that turn a competitive game into a cover killer.
The path for Tulane is pretty specific. They need to make South Florida play in the half court, keep the Bulls from getting extra possessions, and get to the line themselves to slow the tempo. Tulane’s ability to generate free throws is a real tool here because it disrupts rhythm and lets an underdog set its defense.
For the full season arc and home splits, the Tulane Green Wave schedule and stats page is the clean reference. If Tulane covers, it’s probably because they keep the rebounding margin reasonable and hit enough threes to punish South Florida’s closeouts.
South Florida Bulls vs Tulane Green Wave Matchup Breakdown
This game is basically pace versus control. South Florida wants possessions. Tulane wants to pick spots, get to the stripe, and keep the game from turning into a rebound-and-run avalanche.
Here’s what I’m watching most:
- Can Tulane keep South Florida to one shot consistently, or do the Bulls stack second-chance points?
- Does Tulane’s foul-drawing slow the game, or does it just put South Florida in the bonus with easy points the other way?
- What does the game look like after made baskets, because that’s where South Florida can speed you up without forcing it.
The total is interesting at 157.5 because it’s asking Tulane to contribute meaningfully. South Florida can get you there on their own pace, but if Tulane’s offense stalls, the over becomes fragile. And if the Bulls open a lead, you can see Tulane going longer possessions trying to get “good” shots, which is an under-friendly script even if South Florida is scoring.
If you want a deeper read on how tempo, shot volume, and free throws interact with spreads and totals, the Expert Betting Guide is a solid framework for games like this.
South Florida Bulls vs Tulane Green Wave Predictions and Best Bets
My lean is South Florida -7.5. The matchup sets up for the Bulls to win the possession battle through rebounding and pace, and that’s how a road favorite covers without needing a heater from three. Tulane can absolutely make stretches competitive, but they’re going to have to hold up on the glass and avoid live-ball turnovers to keep this inside one or two possessions late.
On the total, I lean under 157.5. This number is high enough that you need Tulane’s offense to land in a good place, and I’m not sure they get the clean, early-clock looks they want if South Florida is controlling rebounds and forcing them to execute in the half court. The under also benefits if Tulane leans into free throws to manage tempo instead of trading transition shots.
I’m not interested in the moneyline prices here. If you like South Florida, the spread is the cleaner value. If you like Tulane, you’re better off taking the points than trying to land a home upset against a team that can win ugly through sheer possession volume.
Best Bet: South Florida Bulls -7.5 (-113)
NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
If you’re building an AAC card, start with the college basketball picks page to see where leans are clustering, then compare those opinions to the market you’re actually betting. For more game context across the slate, the NCAAB previews hub is a fast way to scan matchups and avoid blind bets.
When you need team-level context quickly, use the college basketball teams hub to jump between profiles without losing time. For broader betting angles and concepts you can apply across conferences, the main ScoresAndStats blog is worth keeping in rotation.
If you follow handicappers, keep it performance-based. The best handicappers list is the entry point, the leaderboard helps you separate short-term noise from sustained results, and premium picks is there if you want full-card access. If you’re comparing services and pricing, the handicappers sites reviews can help you filter the market, and the sportsbook reviews is the best reminder to shop lines before you lock anything in.
