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South Florida Bulls vs North Texas Mean Green Picks and Predictions – January 7, 2026
South Florida makes the trip to Denton on Wednesday night to take on the North Texas Mean Green in an intriguing American Athletic Conference clash at UNT Coliseum. Tipoff is set for 8:00 PM ET, with the Bulls entering as -4.5 road favorites. South Florida has been one of the most consistent two-way teams in the AAC this season, sitting at 11–4 overall and pushing toward the top of the standings. Meanwhile, North Texas is just 6–8 but has shown flashes of life, especially at home, where they’ve pulled off a few outright wins as underdogs.
This one sets up as a battle of styles. South Florida leans on defense and physicality, while North Texas wants to slow the game down and shoot their way into contention. The total is 145.5 — a bit high for a game involving the Mean Green, but it reflects South Florida’s improving offensive tempo and scoring efficiency of late.
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South Florida Bulls vs North Texas Mean Green Odds
Here are the current lines for this AAC showdown. As always, monitor the latest college basketball odds for movement closer to tipoff.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida Bulls | -200 | -4.5 (-112) | O 145.5 (-110) |
| North Texas Mean Green | +166 | +4.5 (-109) | U 145.5 (-110) |
South Florida Bulls Betting Form
South Florida enters this game with a ton of momentum, having won five of their last six. They’ve covered four of those games and are trending in the right direction both offensively and defensively. The Bulls rely on physicality, length, and strong rotations. They don’t allow many second-chance points and are one of the better rebounding teams in the league.
Offensively, South Florida has improved its shot selection and ball movement. They generate points from the inside out, using dribble penetration to collapse defenses and kick out for clean threes. Their free-throw rate has also jumped recently, which helps them build and maintain leads. Be sure to monitor the South Florida injury report for any late news. For full stats and trends, visit the South Florida stats and results.
North Texas Mean Green Betting Form
North Texas hasn’t put together a consistent stretch this season, but they’ve remained competitive in Denton. Their defense is built around forcing long possessions and funneling opponents into tough midrange shots. However, they’ve been vulnerable to teams that can get downhill and create high-percentage looks in the paint — exactly what South Florida does well.
Offensively, the Mean Green rely on perimeter shooting and pick-and-pop sets to create spacing, but efficiency has been an issue. They often go long stretches without scoring and don’t have a reliable go-to scorer late in games. That’s been costly in tight second halves. Check the North Texas injury report for any key availability updates. More info can be found on the North Texas schedule and stats.
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South Florida Bulls vs North Texas Mean Green Matchup Breakdown
This matchup likely hinges on whether North Texas can slow down South Florida’s attack and force contested jumpers. South Florida has the stronger frontcourt, wins more 50/50 balls, and doesn’t get rattled in low-possession games. That’s a tough combo for the Mean Green, who struggle to score efficiently without transition points.
Tempo should slightly favor the Bulls. While neither team plays overly fast, South Florida has shown more willingness to push off rebounds and create early offense. If they win the rebounding battle — and they should — it opens up second-chance buckets and foul-drawing opportunities.
- South Florida: strong rebounding, higher FT rate, better two-way balance
- North Texas: shooting-dependent, struggles vs physical post defense
- Bulls have covered 4 of last 5
- Mean Green vulnerable when they can’t control tempo
For deeper breakdowns on tempo clashes and betting value, check out our college basketball betting guide.
South Florida Bulls vs North Texas Mean Green Predictions and Best Bets
This is a strong situational spot for South Florida, even on the road. They’ve shown the ability to win ugly and grind down opponents — something North Texas hasn’t been able to counter when playing from behind. Laying -4.5 in a conference road game isn’t ideal, but the matchup favors the Bulls across the board: size, efficiency, late-game scoring, and defense.
As for the total, 145.5 feels a bit inflated. North Texas isn’t going to speed the game up, and South Florida prefers to dictate with physicality rather than pace. If the Bulls get out to a lead, they’ll bleed clock and limit possessions. I lean under, but the side is the stronger angle.
Best Bet: South Florida -4.5 (-112)
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