Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs Western Illinois Leathernecks Picks and Predictions January 3rd 2026

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Western Illinois Leathernecks vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Betting Preview

Western Illinois travels to Cape Girardeau on Saturday afternoon to face Southeast Missouri State in an Ohio Valley Conference matchup at the Show Me Center. Tipoff is set for 4:45 PM ET, with streaming coverage on ESPN+. Southeast Missouri State enters with a 7-7 record and has been reliable at home at 5-2. Western Illinois comes in at 4-10 and has struggled away from home at 1-7.

The home-road split is reflected in the market, with Southeast Missouri State installed as a sizable favorite. You can monitor live line movement and totals on the NCAA basketball odds page.

Western Illinois has shown individual scoring upside, but sustaining offense across possessions remains the issue.

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Line Movement and Odds

Southeast Missouri State opened and remains favored at -14.5, with the moneyline around -1200. Western Illinois is priced at +737. The total is set at 146.5, reflecting Southeast Missouri State’s scoring edge against a slower Western Illinois offense.

Public action favors the Redhawks based on home performance and efficiency. Sharper bettors are watching whether Western Illinois can shorten the game through pace control. For broader conference context, see the college basketball previews page.

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Matchup Breakdown

Western Illinois relies heavily on individual creation. Lucas Lorenzen leads the offense at over 15 points per game, with Isaiah Griffin providing secondary scoring. The Leathernecks attack inside frequently, ranking top-100 nationally in two-point attempts, but efficiency has fluctuated. When perimeter shots do not fall, scoring runs become difficult to sustain.

Southeast Missouri State brings balance and interior efficiency. The Redhawks average over 78 points per game and shoot better than 56 percent on two-point attempts. Braxton Stacker sets the tone offensively, while Marqueas Bell controls the glass and adds physicality. At home, Southeast Missouri State typically builds leads by winning paint touches and limiting second chances.

For market comparisons and consensus leans, the free college basketball picks page helps frame similar OVC matchups.

Injuries and Conditions

Western Illinois

No major rotation changes reported.
Full details: Western Illinois team page

Southeast Missouri State

No key injuries reported.
Full details: Southeast Missouri State team page

Indoor venue, no external factors.

Best Bets and Prediction

Southeast Missouri State’s home efficiency and interior scoring advantage should control this matchup. Western Illinois can score in bursts, but consistent offense over 40 minutes is the concern.

Projected Score: Southeast Missouri State 80, Western Illinois 65
Best Bet: Southeast Missouri State -14.5
Secondary Lean: Under 146.5 due to pace and shooting profiles

For spread sizing and conference-game discipline, the Bettors Handbook offers situational guidance.

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Home-court control shapes OVC games.

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