St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs Richmond Spiders Picks and Predictions January 7th 2026

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Richmond Spiders vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies Betting Preview

St. Bonaventure returns home Wednesday night with an opportunity to protect one of the strongest home-court edges in the Atlantic 10. The Bonnies are 11-3 overall and a perfect 8-0 at the Reilly Center, where tempo control and physical play have translated into consistent wins. You can track line movement and totals throughout the day on the NCAA basketball odds page.

Richmond enters at 11-4 and has proven it can travel, posting a 3-2 road record. The Spiders are coming off an 83-75 win over Fordham and bring one of the most efficient offenses in the conference into this matchup.

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Line Movement and Odds

St. Bonaventure opened as a moderate home favorite and currently sits at −6.0, with the total set at 150.5. Early money has leaned toward Richmond, largely due to offensive efficiency and the Spiders’ ability to keep pace in higher-scoring games. For slate-wide comparisons, reference the college basketball previews page.

The total remains elevated for an A-10 matchup, reflecting both teams’ scoring profiles and recent game scripts.

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Matchup Breakdown

Richmond’s offense is the separator. The Spiders average 83.1 points per game and shoot 37.6 percent from three. Will Johnston continues to drive production, coming off a 20-point, six-assist performance, while AJ Lopez adds perimeter scoring that forces defenses to stretch.

St. Bonaventure counters with balance and physicality. Frank Mitchell remains the focal point inside, averaging a double-double, while Darryl Simmons II gives the Bonnies reliable scoring on the wing. Defensively, St. Bonaventure creates extra possessions with nearly eight steals per game, which becomes more impactful at home.

If Richmond stays within the number, it comes from shot-making and limiting live-ball turnovers. If St. Bonaventure pulls away, it likely starts with defensive pressure and free throws late.

For trend-based angles and market context, the free college basketball picks section provides supporting insight.

Injuries and Conditions

Richmond

No major rotation injuries reported.
Full details: Richmond team page

St. Bonaventure

No significant injuries impacting the rotation.
Full details: St. Bonaventure team page

This is an indoor matchup, so efficiency and possession control will dictate the total.

Best Bets and Prediction

This sets up as a competitive conference game. Richmond’s offense travels well, and their shooting profile supports staying within the number. St. Bonaventure’s home dominance gives them the edge to win, but margin matters here.

Projected Score: St. Bonaventure 80, Richmond 76
Best Bet: Richmond +6.0
Secondary Lean: Under 150.5 due to pace control and half-court possessions

For bankroll discipline and pace-based betting concepts, consult the Bettors Handbook.

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