St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs Mercyhurst Lakers Picks and Predictions February 5th 2026

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St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs Mercyhurst Lakers Betting Preview

The St. Francis (PA) Red Flash visit the Mercyhurst Lakers in a Northeast Conference matchup at Mercyhurst Athletic Center in Erie. St. Francis enters with a 6-15 record and looks to rebound after a loss to New Haven, while Mercyhurst aims to defend its 8-2 home mark after a close defeat to Chicago State. With the Lakers favored by 8.5 points, this contest highlights a battle between St. Francis’ pace and Mercyhurst’s home dominance.

Line Movement and Odds

Mercyhurst is favored, but St. Francis’ offensive pace makes this line worth tracking. Current market:

  • St. Francis (PA) Spread: +8.5 (-110)
  • Mercyhurst Spread: -8.5 (-110)
  • St. Francis (PA) MoneyLine: +305
  • Mercyhurst MoneyLine: -397
  • Total: 135.5 (-110)

Check the college basketball picks for real-time updates, especially as bettors weigh Mercyhurst’s home dominance against St. Francis’ ability to cover spreads.

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Matchup Breakdown

St. Francis (PA) Outlook

The Red Flash average 70.0 points per game, with Skylar Wicks, Zion Russell, and Ahmad Harrison leading the offense. Russell’s 15 points vs New Haven highlighted his efficiency, while Harrison’s rebounding adds balance. St. Francis’ efficiency (73.2 possessions per game, 52nd nationally; 6th in field goal attempts per game) underscores their strengths. Their ability to push tempo and create scoring chances makes them dangerous underdogs.

Mercyhurst Outlook

The Lakers average 66.8 points per game, with Jake Lemelman, Qadir Martin, and Bernie Blunt III driving production. Lemelman’s 21 points vs Chicago State highlighted his scoring, while Martin’s rebounding adds balance. Mercyhurst’s efficiency (11-12 overall record; 8-2 at home; 45.2% FG shooting; 9.2 turnovers per game) underscores their strengths. Their ability to score efficiently and defend at home makes them tough to beat in Erie.

Key Factors

This matchup may hinge on tempo and turnovers. St. Francis thrives on Wicks’ scoring and Harrison’s rebounding, while Mercyhurst must rely on Lemelman’s hot hand and Martin’s consistency to tilt the game. Execution in the final minutes will likely decide whether St. Francis can cover the spread.

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Injuries / Availability

St. Francis (PA): The Red Flash report no fresh injury concerns heading into Thursday’s contest.

Mercyhurst: The Lakers are expected to have their full rotation available.

Environment

The Mercyhurst Athletic Center has been a fortress for the Lakers, where they’ve gone 8-2 this season. St. Francis, however, has shown resilience in high-paced games, making this a clash of Lakers’ home dominance versus Red Flash’s offensive tempo.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Mercyhurst 68, St. Francis (PA) 62

  • St. Francis (PA) +8.5 → Best Bet. Their pace and scoring balance suggest they can keep the game closer than expected.
  • Under 135.5 → Total play. Both teams’ slower possessions point toward a combined score below the line.

Mercyhurst’s depth and home-court advantage should carry them to victory, while St. Francis’ offensive pace keeps the spread competitive. Expect a contest that leans lower-scoring, with totals landing just under the posted number.

Handicappers and Service Plays

Northeast Conference games often spotlight tempo mismatches and rebounding battles. Our Best Handicappers highlight analysts who specialize in mid-major conference trends, while the Leaderboard tracks who’s delivering consistent returns. For St. Francis (PA) vs Mercyhurst, premium insights are also available at Buy Picks, helping bettors decide whether the spread or total offers the sharper edge.

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