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Monmouth heads to Stony Brook Arena on Thursday, February 5, 2026 for a 7:00 PM ET tip in a Coastal Athletic Association matchup on FloC. Stony Brook is favored at home, and the price reflects two things at once: the Seawolves have been strong in this building, and Monmouth has been shaky away from home even when the offense shows up.
The Hawks are 11-12 overall and coming off a rough 73-57 loss to Hofstra, a game where the offense never really found a second gear. Stony Brook is 14-9 and just beat Elon 72-68, extending a three-game win streak while continuing to defend well enough to protect leads late. With a total of 133.5, the market is also hinting that this game could be played at a fairly controlled pace, unless the threes start falling early.
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Monmouth vs Stony Brook Odds
These are the current betting lines, and bettors should always monitor movement and compare price as tip approaches. You can also track the latest college basketball odds to see if the spread or total shifts before tip.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monmouth Hawks | +128 | +3.5 (-118) | O 133.5 |
| Stony Brook Seawolves | -165 | -3.5 (-108) | U 133.5 |
Monmouth Hawks Betting Form
Monmouth is capable offensively, but the output swings a lot depending on game state. They average 71.6 points per game and they attack inside more than most teams, ranking well in two-point attempt volume. That can be valuable against a team that wants to stay home on shooters and force tough midrange looks. When Monmouth is at its best, the ball moves, the paint touches come early, and the shot quality looks simple. When it’s not, you get the Hofstra version where possessions drag and the scoring dries up.
The road record is the biggest concern, sitting at 3-7, but it’s not a total dead end. They did go to Campbell and win 88-73, and that matters because it shows they can travel when the offense is clean and they’re getting enough stops to run. Jason Rivera-Torres is the key piece for stabilizing them, since he can score and rebound without needing the game to be perfect. If you want a quick snapshot of how Monmouth has been trending game to game, the NCAAB teams hub is the most efficient place to check their stats and results.
Stony Brook Seawolves Betting Form
Stony Brook is in a strong rhythm right now, and the profile fits home favorite pricing. They’re 9-2 in this building, and they’ve won three straight with a style that tends to translate to covers. It’s not flashy. They’re simply more consistent possession to possession. Against Elon, they got balanced scoring with Andrej Shoshkikj and Rob Brown III both hitting 17, and that matters because it’s harder to scheme against when the points are not coming from one spot.
The three-point volume is the obvious weapon. Stony Brook makes 9.7 threes per game, and that’s the quickest way to create separation against a team like Monmouth that prefers to live inside the arc. They’ve also done a good job limiting mistakes, and that tends to keep the game on their terms. If this becomes a half-court game where Stony Brook is trading threes for Monmouth twos, the spread is in a good place for the favorite.
Monmouth Hawks vs Stony Brook Seawolves Matchup Breakdown
The tempo battle is the first thing I’m watching. Monmouth can play faster when it’s getting stops and turning rebounds into early offense, but Stony Brook is comfortable keeping things organized and forcing opponents to execute. If Stony Brook controls pace, it also keeps Monmouth from getting easy points, which is where the Hawks can look the most efficient.
Shot profile is next. Monmouth wants paint attempts and controlled rim pressure, while Stony Brook wants to stretch the floor and win the math with threes. That’s a real clash. If Monmouth is finishing well at the rim and getting to the line, it can neutralize the three-point gap. If Monmouth is missing inside and not earning free throws, then Stony Brook’s perimeter scoring can create a quiet 8-0 run that flips the game.
One more angle is late-game behavior. In a spread under two possessions, the final three minutes matter a lot, and this is where I tend to side with the team that is more comfortable at home and less likely to turn possessions into chaos. If you’re thinking about how to price that kind of end-game volatility, it’s the same logic that shows up in any betting strategy guide approach to short spreads and totals.
Michigan St Spartans
vs
Illinois Fighting Illini
Open
vs
Feb 07, 2026 20:00 EST
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Score
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-1.50 +100
Spread
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o+144.50-115
Total
u+144.50-105
-114
Moneyline
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Monmouth Hawks vs Stony Brook Seawolves Predictions and Best Bets
My lean is Stony Brook -3.5. The home record is strong, they’re in form, and their three-point volume gives them a clean way to separate without needing to dominate the paint. I also don’t love the spot for Monmouth after the Hofstra loss, because if they start slow again, they’re not built to chase threes for 30 minutes. They can come back, sure, but it forces them away from their best offense.
On the total, I lean Over 133.5, but it’s a cautious lean. The number is modest for two teams that can both reach the low 70s, and Stony Brook’s perimeter shooting can spike the scoring quickly if it’s a normal night. The risk is that Stony Brook controls pace and Monmouth’s road offense stalls, which turns this into a 66-62 type of game. Still, if Monmouth is getting enough paint touches and Stony Brook is hitting its usual rate from three, 133.5 is a reachable number without needing a track meet.
Best Bet: Stony Brook Seawolves -3.5 (-108).
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NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
Conference slates are where disciplined bettors separate from casual action. The lines are tighter, the familiarity is higher, and the edges often come from knowing which teams can repeat their identity in specific environments. Home-court, pace control, and shot profile usually matter more than raw record once you get deep into league play.
If you’re building a card for Thursday, start by scanning today’s college basketball picks and narrowing to the games where the matchup and the number actually agree. It’s the simplest way to avoid forcing bets and stay focused on spots where the price is doing you a favor.
