Tennessee Volunteers vs Illinois Fighting Illini Picks and Predictions December 6th 2025

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The Tennessee Volunteers face the Illinois Fighting Illini in the Music City Madness clash at Nashville. Both ranked teams enter looking to rebound from recent losses, with Tennessee aiming to fix turnover issues and Illinois seeking to regain offensive rhythm. Bettors must weigh Tennessee’s defensive toughness against Illinois’ scoring firepower.

Line Movement and Odds

  • Tennessee Volunteers Spread: -2.5 (-110)
  • Illinois Fighting Illini Spread: +2.5 (-110)
  • Tennessee Volunteers MoneyLine: -145
  • Illinois Fighting Illini MoneyLine: +120
  • Total: 151.5 (Over -110, Under -110)

Tennessee opened as slight favorites in Nashville. See full NCAA Basketball odds for market movement.

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Matchup Breakdown

Tennessee Volunteers Outlook

Tennessee dropped back-to-back games to Kansas and Syracuse, despite Jaylen Carey’s breakout 22-point performance. The Volunteers average 74 points per game but have struggled with turnovers, committing 17 against Syracuse. Freshman Nate Ament leads with 17.1 points and 7.4 rebounds per game, while J.P. Estrella (12.0 ppg) missed the last game with an ankle injury. Tennessee must improve guard play and limit turnovers to win.

Illinois Fighting Illini Outlook

Illinois fell to UConn 83-65, shooting just 31.7% from the floor. Kylan Boswell leads with 17.3 points and 3.9 assists per game, while David Mirkovic averages a double-double (14.3 points, 10.0 rebounds). Andrej Stojakovic (16.3 ppg) and Zvonimir Ivisic are battling injuries, impacting depth. The Illini average 81 points per game and rank 14th in offensive efficiency, but must regain shooting form to challenge Tennessee.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

Tennessee’s defense and rebounding vs Illinois’ offensive pace. The Volunteers must control turnovers and rely on Ament’s scoring, while Illinois needs Boswell and Mirkovic to dominate offensively. Injuries could play a decisive role.

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Injuries / Availability

Tennessee: J.P. Estrella (ankle) missed last game, status uncertain.
Illinois: Zvonimir Ivisic (foot) and Andrej Stojakovic (ankle) are questionable after struggling vs UConn.

  • Tennessee is 7-2 overall but has lost two straight.
  • Tennessee has committed double-digit turnovers in 7 of 9 games.
  • Illinois is 6-2 overall, averaging 81 points per game.
  • Illinois allows opponents to shoot 40.3% from the floor.
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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Tennessee 77, Illinois 74

  • Tennessee -2.5 (-110) → Best Bet. Volunteers’ rebounding and Ament’s scoring edge suggest they cover.
  • Over 151.5 (-110) → Total. Both teams average over 74 points, leaning over in a fast-paced matchup.

Tennessee’s defense and home-court edge in Nashville should secure the win, while Illinois’ offense keeps it close. Expect a competitive, high-scoring game trending over the total.

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