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Tennessee Volunteers vs Missouri Tigers Picks and Predictions February 24th 2026

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Tennessee Volunteers vs Missouri Tigers Game Preview

Tennessee heads to Columbia on Tuesday night for an SEC matchup with Missouri at Mizzou Arena, and the market is pricing the Vols as a short road favorite at -4.5. That number respects both sides. Tennessee is 20-7 and has held up on the road at 5-4, while Missouri is 18-9 with a real home edge at 14-4. In a spread range like this, you’re betting on who plays cleaner basketball late, because this is the kind of game that can swing on one empty stretch or one foul-heavy sequence in the final four minutes.

The total sits at 143.5, which is a manageable number for two teams that can both score, especially if the game has a steady whistle and the pace doesn’t crater into pure halfcourt grinding. Tennessee’s ability to control the glass and generate second chances can keep the scoring stable, and Missouri’s home offense can lift a total quickly if the Tigers are getting clean perimeter looks. The key is whether Tennessee can impose defensive structure without fouling and whether Missouri can avoid live-ball mistakes that hand Tennessee easy points.

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Tennessee Volunteers vs Missouri Tigers Odds

These are the current betting lines, and bettors should keep tracking movement throughout the day on the latest college basketball odds board.

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Tennessee Volunteers-199-4.5 (-107)O 143.5
Missouri Tigers+157+4.5 (-118)U 143.5

Tennessee Volunteers Betting Form

Tennessee is coming off a 69-65 win over Vanderbilt, and the way they won matters for this handicap. They didn’t need a perfect offensive night. They won with rebounding, defensive pressure, and enough late-game execution to close, which is exactly the profile you want when laying a short road number in the SEC.

The cover path at -4.5 starts with the glass. Tennessee’s rebounding has been a season-long edge, and it’s the cleanest way to travel because it doesn’t rely on shooting variance. If the Vols win second-chance opportunities, avoid sloppy turnovers, and keep Missouri from living at the line, they can build a working margin without needing to score into the 80s. The risk is Missouri’s home scoring bursts. If Tennessee has a four-minute drought and the Tigers hit threes on the other end, this spread can get uncomfortable fast.

Injury Report
J.P. Estrella (F) is questionable with left foot soreness. Clarence Massamba (G) is out with a hip injury. Cade Phillips (F) is out with a shoulder injury.

Missouri Tigers Betting Form

Missouri is coming off a 94-86 loss to Arkansas, but the offensive efficiency in that game is still a reminder of why the Tigers are dangerous at home. They can score in this building, and when the primary creators are getting downhill, they can force defenses into rotations that open clean looks. That matters against Tennessee because you don’t want to play from behind early, especially when you’re trying to protect a small spread on the road.

The home profile is the underdog case. Missouri is 14-4 at Mizzou Arena, and that level of comfort shows up most in shot quality, especially early in halves. To cover +4.5 or win outright, Missouri has to keep this from turning into a turnover and rebounding math problem. If Tennessee is grabbing extra possessions and getting easy points, Missouri ends up chasing. If the Tigers can stay even on the glass and keep their offense organized, the game sets up for a one-possession finish where +4.5 is very live.

Injury Report
Annor Boateng (G) is out with a leg injury and will miss the remainder of the season. Josh Porter (F) is questionable with a lower-leg injury.

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Tennessee Volunteers vs Missouri Tigers Matchup Breakdown

This matchup is Tennessee’s physicality and rebounding versus Missouri’s home shot-making and ability to score in bursts. Tennessee wants to dictate with defense and possession control, forcing Missouri into tougher shots and limiting second chances. Missouri wants to keep scoring pressure on Tennessee so the Vols can’t settle into a slow, control-the-game script.

The total at 143.5 sits on the game script hinge. If Tennessee’s defense travels cleanly and the whistle is quiet, the scoring can compress and the under becomes attractive. If Missouri’s home offense is generating efficient looks and the second half turns into bonus time with free throws, the over is live even without a track-meet pace. This is also the type of game where late fouls can add points quickly if it’s within two possessions in the final minute.

Tennessee Volunteers vs Missouri Tigers Predictions and Best Bets

I lean Tennessee -4.5. The Vols have the more reliable “travel” traits in this spot, rebounding, defensive pressure, and the ability to win without needing to shoot the lights out. If Tennessee controls the glass and keeps Missouri from getting easy transition points, it should be able to sit on a narrow lead and close.

On the total, I lean over 143.5 as a secondary angle. Both teams have enough offensive baseline to get into the mid 70s, and if the game is tight late, free throws can do a lot of work. The main risk is Tennessee successfully turning this into a slower, possession-heavy game where Missouri’s scoring comes in smaller chunks instead of bursts.

Best Bet: Tennessee -4.5 (-107).

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NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats

Short road spreads in conference play are where number discipline matters most, because -4.5 and -5.5 can be the difference between a clean cover and a push-or-sweat finish. Start with NCAAB picks to see how the slate is shaping up, then cross-check pricing and totals on the college basketball odds page so you’re not laying a worse number than you need.

If you’re organizing a Tuesday SEC card, the NCAAB previews hub keeps matchups sorted by start time and style so you can compare pace, shot profile, and late-game risk. And when you want to track which handicappers consistently beat these mid-range spreads and physical games, the handicappers leaderboard is the cleanest way to compare records and ROI before you lock in your side or total.

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