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The LSU Tigers head to Austin this Tuesday for a high-scoring SEC showdown against the Texas Longhorns at the Moody Center. Tip-off is set for 9:00 PM ET, and fans can follow the action live on SECN. Texas enters the contest with a wave of momentum following a dominant 17-point road win over Missouri, while LSU is looking to snap a three-game losing skid after a hard-fought battle in Knoxville.
Texas opens as a substantial 10.5-point home favorite, backed by an offense that ranks among the top 25 nationally. For the Tigers, this trip is about more than just an upset; it’s a test of their depth as they navigate significant lineup absences in a hostile environment.
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LSU vs Texas Odds
Odds for this SEC clash are currently live across major sportsbooks. For real-time updates and line movements, visit the latest college basketball odds page.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
| LSU | +440 | +10.5 (-110) | O 151.5 (-110) |
| Texas | -642 | -10.5 (-115) | U 151.5 (-110) |
LSU Tigers Betting Form
LSU (14-11) showed plenty of “fight and resolve,” according to head coach Matt McMahon, in their recent 73-63 loss to Tennessee. However, the Tigers are severely shorthanded. Starting point guard Dedan Thomas Jr. is officially out for the season (foot), and leading scorer Max Mackinnon is currently a game-time decision with a knee injury. In their absence, Marquel Sutton and Jalen Reece have stepped up, both contributing 15 points against the Vols.
The Tigers’ path to a cover lies in their efficiency at the charity stripe (76.2%) and their ability to keep games close as underdogs, where they hold a 55.6% ATS success rate. To see how these injuries impact their rotation, check the LSU injury report and their full season performance on the LSU stats and results page.
Texas Longhorns Betting Form
Texas (16-9) is peaking at the right time, having won four of its last five games. Dailyn Swain has been the catalyst, fresh off a 25-point performance that earned him SEC Co-Player of the Week honors. Alongside Swain, the 7-foot-0 freshman Matas Vokietaitis has provided a massive interior presence, recently posting a 19-point, 10-rebound double-double.
The Longhorns are a perfect 6-0 this season when favored by 10 points or more, and they boast a potent offense averaging 85.2 points per game. Their shooting efficiency (49.3% FG) is a nightmare for opposing defenses at the Moody Center. For deeper trends on their home-court dominance, visit the Texas schedule and stats page. Don’t forget to check the Texas injury report for any late updates on Lassina Traore.
LSU vs Texas Matchup Breakdown
This matchup features two of the most productive offenses in the SEC, but they are trending in different directions defensively. Texas has been elite at home, forcing turnovers and dominating the glass, while LSU has struggled to find defensive consistency without their primary ball-handler.
- The Rebounding Battle: Texas ranks 12th nationally in limiting opponent rebounds (29.9 rpg). If LSU can’t generate second-chance points through Sutton and Nwoko, they will struggle to keep pace with the Longhorns’ transition game.
- Point Guard Play: With Dedan Thomas Jr. out, freshman Jalen Reece must navigate the pressure of a Sean Miller-coached defense. Reece played 40 minutes with zero turnovers against Tennessee—a repeat of that poise is mandatory for an LSU cover.
For a look at the updated tournament projections for both teams, visit our college basketball championship odds tracker.
LSU vs Texas Predictions and Best Bets
While the model projects a tight five-point win for Texas (85-80), the reality of LSU’s injury situation makes the +10.5 spread a risky proposition. However, the most confident play is the Over 151.5. Both teams feature high-efficiency offenses, and Texas has consistently pushed the pace at home, seeing the Over hit in 8 of their 14 home contests.
Best Bet: LSU +10.5 (-110) and Over 151.5 (-110).
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NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
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