Texas Longhorns vs Southern Jaguars Picks and Predictions December 8th 2025

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Texas Longhorns (6-3) looks to regroup after a disappointing 88-69 loss to Virginia when they host Southern Jaguars (4-4) on Monday night in Austin. The Longhorns have dropped two of their last four games and face questions about defensive toughness, while the Jaguars enter on a two-game winning streak.

Line Movement and Odds

  • Texas Longhorns Spread: -21.5
  • Southern Jaguars Spread: +21.5
  • Total: 143.0

Texas opened as a heavy home favorite, with totals set near 143 points. See full NCAA Basketball odds for market movement.

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Matchup Breakdown

Texas Longhorns Outlook

Texas has struggled defensively, allowing Virginia to hit 12 threes and score 38 bench points. Dailyn Swain posted 15 points and 10 rebounds in the loss, while Jordan Pope added 10. Coach Sean Miller emphasized the need for more fight and toughness on defense. The Longhorns’ only notable win came against NC State in Maui, with most victories against mid-major opponents. Offensive consistency and defensive intensity are priorities heading into this matchup.

Southern Jaguars Outlook

Southern dominated Louisiana Christian 101-48, with five players scoring in double figures. Michael Jacobs led with 22 points, while Cam Amboree, Fazl Oshodi, Brandon Hardy, and Ashton Magee all contributed. The Jaguars shot 58%, won the rebounding battle 45-29, and forced 20 turnovers. Three of their wins have come against NAIA or NCCAA teams, with the lone Division I victory over Northwestern State. This game begins a five-game road trip before SWAC play.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

Texas must reassert defensive identity and avoid lapses against Southern’s balanced scoring. The Longhorns’ size and athleticism should control the boards, while Southern needs hot shooting and turnover pressure to stay competitive. Swain’s production and Pope’s scoring will be key for Texas to build confidence before tougher matchups later in December.

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Injuries / Availability

Texas: Full roster available.
Southern: Full roster available.

  • Texas is 6-3 overall, 5-0 vs. mid-major/non-Division I teams.
  • Southern is 4-4 overall, with three wins vs. NAIA/NCCAA opponents.
  • Texas has lost two of its last four games.
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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Texas 84, Southern 58

  • Pick: Texas -21.5. The Longhorns’ talent and home-court edge should produce a comfortable win.
  • Total: Under 143. Southern’s offensive struggles limit scoring despite Texas’ pace.

Expect Texas to use this matchup as a reset, focusing on defensive improvement and offensive rhythm before tougher opponents later this month.

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